Norada Real Estate Investments

Best Places to Invest in Single-Family Rental Properties in 2025

by

Looking for the best places to invest in single-family rentals in 2025? You've come to the right place! Based on a new report by ATTOM, the top 10 counties for buying single-family rentals in 2025 offer a sweet spot of wage growth and attractive rental yields. Keep reading to discover which counties made the list and why they're poised for success.

Best Places to Invest in Single-Family Rental Properties in 2025

Why Single-Family Rentals?

Before we dive into the specific counties, let's quickly recap why single-family rentals (SFRs) are a popular investment choice. They offer several benefits:

  • Consistent Cash Flow: Rental income provides a steady stream of revenue.
  • Appreciation Potential: Real estate tends to increase in value over time.
  • Tax Advantages: Depreciation, mortgage interest, and other expenses can be tax-deductible.
  • Tangible Asset: Unlike stocks or bonds, you can physically see and manage your investment.

However, not all markets are created equal. Finding the right location is crucial for maximizing returns and minimizing risks. Factors like job growth, population trends, affordability, and local regulations can significantly impact the profitability of an SFR investment.

The Big Picture: Rental Yields in 2025

ATTOM's Q1 2025 Single-Family Rental Market Report paints an interesting picture of the SFR market. Across the 361 counties analyzed, the projected annual gross rental yield for three-bedroom properties in 2025 is 7.45%. While that's a decent return, it's slightly down from the 2024 average of 7.52%.

The report suggests that rental yields are expected to decline in nearly 60% of the analyzed counties between 2024 and 2025. This is largely due to home prices increasing faster than rents in many areas. In fact, median single-family home prices rose faster than median rents in 54% of the markets studied. Between 2024 and 2025, median single-family home prices have risen in approximately two-thirds of the counties with sufficient data, typically increasing by around 10%, which is a big factor.

This means that as an investor, you need to be extra selective and strategic when choosing your next rental property.

How Were the Top 10 Counties Selected?

To identify the top counties, ATTOM looked for areas where:

  • Wage Growth is Positive: Rising wages indicate a healthy local economy and the ability for renters to afford higher rents.
  • Projected Rental Yields are Attractive: A higher rental yield means a better return on investment.

The report specifically highlighted 28 “SFR Growth” counties where average wages increased over the past year and projected annual gross rental yields for three-bedroom properties in 2025 exceed 10%.

The Top 10 Counties for Buying Single-Family Rentals in 2025

Alright, let's get to the list you've been waiting for! Here are the top 10 counties, according to ATTOM's data, along with some additional insights:

  1. Suffolk County, NY
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 7%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 18%
    • Why it's great: Suffolk County, located outside of New York City, benefits from its proximity to a major employment hub while offering more affordable housing options. The strong rental yield and solid wage growth make it an attractive market for SFR investors.
  2. Atlantic County, NJ
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 2%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 18%
    • Why it's great: Atlantic City may be what you think of when you think of Atlantic County, but there are plenty of rentals that can be found.
  3. Jefferson County, AL
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 9%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 16%
    • Why it's great: As the home to Birmingham, Jefferson County boasts a diverse economy and a growing population. The combination of strong wage growth and a healthy rental yield makes it a promising market.
  4. Mobile County, AL
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 5%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 19%
    • Why it's great: Mobile's economy is driven by industries such as aerospace, shipbuilding, and manufacturing. The relatively low cost of living and attractive rental yields make it an appealing option for investors.
  5. Ector County, TX
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 5%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 15%
    • Why it's great: Ector County, home to Odessa, is a major player in the oil and gas industry. While this sector can be volatile, the area's strong job market and competitive rental yields make it a worthwhile consideration.
  6. Indian River County, FL
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 2%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 12%
    • Why it's great: Indian River County may be located in Florida, and the city itself may draw some tourists, but the lower wage growth is a little offsetting.
  7. St. Louis City, MO
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 7%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 12%
    • Why it's great: St. Louis City offers a mix of affordability, cultural attractions, and job opportunities. The strong wage growth and attractive rental yield make it a compelling market for SFR investors.
  8. Litchfield County, CT
    • Year-over-year wage growth: Not Specified
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 17%
    • Why it's great: Litchfield County combines a rural setting with proximity to major metropolitan areas. The high rental yield, despite the lack of specific wage growth data, suggests a strong demand for rental properties.
  9. Charlotte County, FL
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 4%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 16%
    • Why it's great: With its beautiful beaches and sunny weather, Charlotte County attracts both tourists and retirees. The steady wage growth and solid rental yield make it a potentially lucrative market for SFR investments.
  10. Saint Clair County, IL
    • Year-over-year wage growth: 8%
    • 2025 Annual Gross Rental Yield: 16%
    • Why it's great: Located near St. Louis, Saint Clair County benefits from a strong regional economy. The robust wage growth and attractive rental yield make it an appealing option for investors.

Beyond the Numbers: Due Diligence is Key

While these counties show promise based on ATTOM's data, it's important to remember that real estate investment is never a sure thing. Before making any decisions, you need to conduct thorough due diligence. This includes:

  • Analyzing Local Market Conditions: Research vacancy rates, average rents, and property values in specific neighborhoods.
  • Evaluating Property Condition: Inspect properties carefully for any potential repairs or maintenance issues.
  • Understanding Local Regulations: Familiarize yourself with zoning laws, building codes, and landlord-tenant laws.
  • Assessing Risk Tolerance: Determine how much risk you're willing to take on and invest accordingly.

I've seen too many investors jump into deals without doing their homework, only to end up with costly mistakes. Take the time to research and understand the market before committing to any investment.

My Personal Take:

In my opinion, while the data from ATTOM is a great starting point, it's crucial to consider your individual investment goals and risk tolerance. For example, if you're looking for a more stable, long-term investment, you might prioritize counties with consistent job growth and lower volatility. On the other hand, if you're willing to take on more risk for potentially higher returns, you might consider markets with emerging industries or rapid population growth. Also, visit the areas of interest and observe things yourself.

Final Thoughts

Investing in single-family rentals can be a rewarding way to build wealth and generate passive income. By carefully analyzing market trends, conducting thorough due diligence, and considering your personal investment goals, you can increase your chances of success.

The top 10 counties for buying single-family rentals in 2025, as identified by ATTOM, offer a compelling combination of wage growth and attractive rental yields. However, remember that these are just starting points. Always do your research and consult with experienced professionals before making any investment decisions.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Is the U.S. Heading Toward a Real Estate Crash and Debt Bubble?

by

It seems like every other conversation I have, whether with friends, family, or even casual acquaintances, eventually drifts towards the big, looming question: Is the U.S. heading to a real estate crash? Given the rollercoaster of the past few years and the echoes of 2008 still lingering in our collective memory, it's a valid concern. Let me put your mind at ease, at least somewhat: while there are definitely pressures and strains in the system, the data and expert consensus as of mid-2025 suggest we are not on the brink of a 2008-style real estate crash or an imminent debt bubble collapse. However, that doesn't mean it's all smooth sailing, and understanding the nuances is key.

Unpacking the “Crash” Fears: What's Really Happening with Home Prices?

That chilling word, “crash,” brings back some pretty vivid memories for many of us. We remember the foreclosures, the plummeting values, and the sheer panic of the Great Recession. So, when 70% of Americans voice worry about a housing crash, as reported by Keeping Current Matters, I completely get it. But is history repeating itself? Let's dig into what the 2025 housing market actually looks like.

The 2025 Home Price Picture: Growth, But Not Everywhere

If you're looking for a nationwide, dramatic drop in home prices, you're likely to be disappointed (or relieved, depending on your perspective!). The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed a 3.9% annual gain in February 2025. That’s a bit slower than the 4.1% from January, but it’s still growth. Looking ahead, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) is even predicting a 3% rise in median home prices for 2025, with an expectation of 4% in 2026.

Now, it's not all uniform. Zillow, for instance, has a slightly different take, forecasting a modest national decline of 1.9% in home values. This tells me that the market is complex and definitely not a one-size-fits-all situation. Regional differences are playing a huge role:

Region Price Trend Key Factors My Two Cents
Northeast Stronger price gains Income growth, severe shortage of homes (Forbes) This region has older housing stock and less new construction, making any available home highly contested.
Southeast & West Weaker gains, possible discounts Increased inventory, softening demand (Forbes) These areas saw huge run-ups post-pandemic. A bit of a cool-down isn't surprising; some markets might have gotten a little ahead of themselves.

What I see here is a market that's normalizing rather than collapsing. Some areas might see slight dips, especially those that got overheated, while others will continue to see steady, if unspectacular, growth.

The Elephant in the Room: Why Isn't Supply Catching Up?

The number one reason most experts, myself included, don't foresee a crash is simple: there just aren't enough homes to go around. Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, put it perfectly: “There’s just generally not enough supply. There are more people than housing inventory. It’s Econ 101.” And Lawrence Yun from NAR echoes this, stating, “…if there’s a shortage, prices simply cannot crash.”

Data from Realtor.com confirms this. While single-family homes for sale are up 20% year-over-year, inventory is still near record lows historically. This isn't a new problem; we've been underbuilding for over a decade.

Then there's what I call the “golden handcuffs” phenomenon, or the “lock-in issue” as JPMorgan calls it. Think about it: over 80% of current homeowners with mortgages are sitting on rates significantly below today's levels (which are hovering around 6.7%). Would you want to sell your home and trade your 3% mortgage for a nearly 7% one if you didn't absolutely have to? Probably not. This keeps a huge chunk of potential inventory off the market. I believe this lock-in effect is one of the most powerful, yet sometimes underestimated, forces shaping today's market. It's not just an economic statistic; it's a deeply personal financial decision for millions.

Mortgage Rates: The Squeeze on Buyers

Let's talk about those mortgage rates. They're the gatekeepers of affordability. Experts are generally predicting rates to stabilize somewhere between 6.5% and 6.7% through 2025. Don't hold your breath for a significant drop below 6%.

What does this mean for buyers? Well, for a $361,000 home with a 20% down payment at a 6.65% rate, the monthly principal and interest payment is around $1,853. Forbes notes this is only $9 more than in 2024, but let's be real – housing was already expensive in 2024 for many. Affordability is a genuine challenge, especially for first-time homebuyers. I'm seeing more and more young people and families priced out, turning to the rental market instead, which, in turn, puts upward pressure on rents. It's a tough cycle.

The New York Times reported that 2024 was the slowest housing market in decades. While 2025 might not be a barn burner either, the underlying conditions – low supply and persistent, albeit somewhat suppressed, demand – just don't scream “crash.” Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic (misattributed as Cotality in the source, but CoreLogic is her firm), reinforces this: “Unless there is a significant surge in the rate of unemployment… the housing market is expected to continue to rebound from 2023 lows.”

So, Are We Drowning in Debt? A Look at the U.S. Debt Mountain

The other side of this coin is debt. If real estate isn't crashing, is a “debt bubble” about to pop and take everything down with it? It's a fair question, especially when you hear the headline numbers.

Just How Big is Our Collective Tab?

U.S. household debt did indeed hit a record $18.2 trillion in the first quarter of 2025. That's a big, scary number. Let's break it down:

  • Mortgage Debt: $12.8 trillion (up $190 billion from Q4 2024) – This is the lion's share, about 70%.
  • Student Loans: $1.631 trillion (up $16 billion)
  • Auto Loans: $1.642 trillion (actually down $13 billion)
  • Credit Card Debt: $1.182 trillion (also down $29 billion)
  • Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs): $402 billion (up $6 billion)

Seeing those mortgage numbers climb alongside rising home prices makes sense. But here's a crucial piece of context: the debt-to-GDP ratio was 73% in early 2023. While I'd love to see that lower, it's actually less than in some previous years. This tells me that, relative to the size of our economy, the debt load, while high, isn't necessarily at an immediate breaking point on a macro level.

Can We Actually Afford This Debt? The Delinquency Story

The total amount of debt is one thing; our ability to pay it back is another. The debt service burden – that's the fancy term for debt payments relative to our disposable income – is currently around 11.3%. Historically speaking, this is lower than it was for much of the 2000s, which suggests households, on average, are managing.

However, there are definitely some warning signs I'm keeping a close eye on. Delinquency rates for credit card and auto loans are rising, reaching levels that do bring back uncomfortable memories of the lead-up to 2008. This is where I see the most immediate stress. It tells me that some households are struggling with inflation and higher interest rates on these types of variable or shorter-term debts.

Now, for the big one: mortgage delinquencies. They did tick up to 4.04% in Q1 2025. That's an increase, yes, but it's still below the historical average of 5.25% (from 1979–2023). Foreclosure starts also rose slightly to 0.20%, but here's the kicker: homeowners are sitting on a mountain of equity – an estimated $34.7 trillion in Q4 2024. This equity acts as a massive cushion. Unlike 2008, when many were underwater, today's homeowners, even if they face hardship, often have the option to sell and walk away with cash, rather than defaulting. This is a fundamental difference.

Is a “Debt Bubble” About to Pop? My Analysis

So, are we in a debt bubble ready to burst? My take is no, not in the catastrophic, systemic way we saw before. Here's why:

  1. Stricter Lending Standards: The “liar loans” and no-doc mortgages of the pre-2008 era are largely gone. Today's mortgage borrowers are generally more qualified.
  2. Massive Home Equity: As mentioned, that $34.7 trillion in equity is a game-changer. It prevents a cascade of foreclosures.
  3. Debt Composition: While overall debt is high, the riskiest parts of it (like subprime mortgages from the past) are a much smaller component of the overall picture.

However, this doesn't mean there are no risks. A significant spike in unemployment (the Federal Reserve projects 4.4% in 2025, which is an increase but not calamitous) could absolutely strain household finances further. If people lose their jobs, those credit card and auto loan delinquencies could worsen, and mortgage stress could follow. The key here is the severity of any economic downturn.

What I'm more concerned about isn't a “bubble pop” that craters the financial system, but rather a prolonged period where an increasing number of families feel financially squeezed by the combination of high housing costs and persistent debt service, especially on non-mortgage items.

The X-Factors: Politics, Policies, and Other Wildcards

Economics doesn't happen in a vacuum. Politics and policy decisions can throw curveballs, and it's worth considering some of these.

Potential Policy Shifts and Their Ripple Effects

With elections always on the horizon, we have to consider how different administrations might approach things. For example, a potential Trump administration has floated ideas like:

  • Streamlining zoning approvals: This could, in theory, help with housing supply, which would be a positive.
  • Reducing immigration: This could have a mixed impact. While it might reduce some demand, it could also shrink the construction labor force (around 30% of which is immigrant labor, according to JPMorgan). This could exacerbate shortages and drive up costs.
  • Tariffs: Forbes estimates that tariffs could increase construction costs by as much as $10,900 per home. In a market already struggling with affordability, that's not helpful.

Eswar Prasad, an economist at Cornell University, rightly points out that such policy shifts can create economic uncertainty. When businesses and consumers are uncertain, they tend to pull back on spending and investment, which can slow the economy.

The Global Economic Climate: Are We an Island?

While we've focused on the U.S., it's important to remember we're part of a global economy. International events, global inflation trends, supply chain disruptions (as we saw during the pandemic), or geopolitical instability can all send ripples our way. For instance, if global energy prices spike, that affects everything from transportation costs to the price of goods, further squeezing household budgets here. I don't see an immediate global threat that derails the U.S. specifically right now, but it's a factor that always needs monitoring.

Navigating the Uncertainty: My Advice for You

Okay, so what does all this mean for you, personally? Whether you're looking to buy, already own, or invest, here's how I see it.

For Hopeful Homebuyers

My strongest piece of advice is don't wait for a crash that's highly unlikely to materialize in the way some might imagine. The fundamentals of low supply and steady (even if somewhat muted) demand just don't support a dramatic price collapse.

  • Focus on long-term affordability: Don't just look at the monthly mortgage payment. Consider property taxes, insurance, potential HOA fees, and maintenance. Can you comfortably afford the total cost of ownership, even if interest rates tick up a bit more or your income plateaus for a while?
  • Get pre-approved before you shop: Seriously, this is crucial. Know your budget. It saves heartache and helps you make realistic offers.
  • Be patient and persistent: The market is competitive, especially for good homes in desirable areas. It might take time to find the right place at a price you can manage. Don't get discouraged.
  • Consider your timeline: If you plan to stay in the home for 5-7 years or more, you're more likely to ride out any short-term market fluctuations and build equity.

For Current Homeowners

If you're already a homeowner, particularly one with a low-rate mortgage, you're generally in a good position.

  • Appreciate your equity: You've likely seen significant gains in home value. That's a powerful financial asset.
  • Think carefully before moving: If you have a sub-4% mortgage, giving that up for a 6.5%+ rate is a big financial leap. Only move if there's a compelling life reason (job, family, etc.). The “golden handcuffs” are real.
  • Be cautious with HELOCs: Tapping into your home equity can be a useful tool, but do it wisely. Have a clear plan for the funds and ensure you can comfortably manage the repayments, especially if rates on HELOCs rise.

For Investors

The days of easy, double-digit annual returns in real estate are likely on pause for a bit.

  • Expect modest returns: With slower price growth and higher interest rates, cap rates are compressed.
  • Look for specific opportunities: Instead of broad market bets, you might need to dig deeper for undervalued properties, niche markets, or value-add opportunities.
  • Cash flow is king: In this higher-rate environment, properties that generate positive cash flow from day one are more attractive and resilient than speculative appreciation plays. I always tell my investor clients that hoping for appreciation is gambling; planning for cash flow is business.

My Final Thoughts: Caution, Not Catastrophe

So, back to that big question: Is the U.S. heading to a real estate crash and debt bubble? My analysis, based on the current data and expert insights for 2025, is no, not in the dramatic, 2008-esque way that many fear.

The housing market is supported by a fundamental undersupply of homes and the “lock-in” effect of low existing mortgage rates, which should prevent a sharp, widespread crash in prices. We're more likely to see continued modest growth in many areas, with some potential softening or slight declines in previously overheated markets – a correction, not a collapse.

On the debt side, while total household debt is at a record high, the crucial mortgage sector is generally stable due to stricter lending and significant homeowner equity. The rising delinquencies in credit card and auto loans are certainly a concern and point to stress in parts of the consumer economy, but they don't currently appear to pose a systemic threat to the financial system in the same way mortgage-backed securities did in 2008.

This doesn't mean we can all relax and ignore the warning signs. Affordability will remain a major challenge. Certain households will face significant financial strain. Economic uncertainties, whether from domestic policy or global events, could shift the outlook. Vigilance and smart financial planning are more important than ever.

What I see is a period requiring more caution, more careful decision-making, and a realistic understanding of the economic pressures at play. It’s a time for resilience, not panic. The U.S. economy has weathered storms before, and while the current conditions are complex, they don't spell imminent doom for the housing market or a full-blown debt catastrophe.

“Invest in Turnkey Real Estate: Simple & Profitable”

With growing fears of a real estate crash and a looming debt bubble, it’s more important than ever to choose low-risk, high-cash-flow markets with long-term fundamentals.

Norada helps investors navigate turbulent times by identifying strong markets backed by job growth, population gains, and affordability.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Recommended Read:

Impact of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” on the Housing Market

by

The “One Big Beautiful Bill,” having cleared the U.S. House of Representatives on May 22, 2025, is setting the stage for a dramatic reshaping of the American economy, and the real estate market is squarely in its crosshairs. My definitive take, right off the bat, is yes, this bill has the strong potential to significantly transform the real estate market, though the exact nature and extent of that transformation will heavily depend on its journey through the Senate.

Impact of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” on the Housing Market

This isn't just another piece of legislation; it's a comprehensive overhaul touching nearly every corner of the tax code, and its real estate-specific provisions, alongside its broader economic implications, could trigger substantial changes for investors, developers, and homeowners alike.

Now, I know what you might be thinking: another bill, another promise. But this one feels different. It's not just tinkering around the edges; it's a bold attempt to inject new life into the economy by extending key provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and layering in fresh incentives. As someone who's been keeping a close eye on the ebb and flow of the real estate world for years, I see several key areas where this bill could really move the needle.

The Pillars of Potential Transformation

Let's dive into some of the specific parts of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” that I believe could have the most profound impact on the real estate market:

  • Keeping the Tax Cuts Rolling: The extension of the TCJA's individual income tax cuts is a big one. If people and businesses have more money in their pockets, it stands to reason that we'll see increased demand across the board, including for housing and commercial spaces. Lower tax rates can fuel economic activity, and a stronger economy is generally good news for real estate values.
  • Boosting Business with the QBI Deduction: For those involved in real estate as pass-through entities (think LLCs and partnerships, which are very common in this industry), the proposed increase in the Qualified Business Income (QBI) deduction from 20% to 23% is a significant sweetener. This could lead to considerable tax savings, making real estate investments and businesses even more attractive. I've always believed that incentivizing small businesses is crucial for a healthy real estate market, and this provision seems to be a step in that direction.
  • Supercharged Depreciation: The extension of 100% bonus depreciation is another potential game-changer, particularly for commercial real estate. Allowing businesses to deduct the full cost of qualifying property in the year it's placed in service can be a powerful motivator for investment in property improvements and new construction. Imagine the impact on developers if they can immediately write off the full cost of certain new commercial buildings! Plus, the specific 100% depreciation allowance for certain commercial real property through 2030 is a clear signal to encourage development in that sector.
  • Protecting Like-Kind Exchanges: The preservation of Section 1031 like-kind exchanges is something I was particularly pleased to see. This provision allows investors to defer capital gains taxes when they exchange one investment property for another “like-kind” property. It's a vital tool for maintaining fluidity in the real estate investment market, allowing investors to reinvest and upgrade their portfolios without immediate tax consequences. Eliminating or restricting this could have really stifled investment activity.
  • More Support for Affordable Housing: The modifications to the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) are a much-needed boost to affordable housing development. Increasing credit allocation, restoring the “9% LIHTC” to previous levels with an added increase, and lowering the bond-financing threshold for the “4% LIHTC” could make a real difference in increasing the supply of affordable housing. Designating Tribal and rural areas as difficult development areas is also a smart move to target underserved communities. As someone who believes everyone deserves access to decent housing, these changes are a positive sign.
  • Revitalizing Distressed Areas: The renewal and modification of Qualified Opportunity Zones (QOZ) presents another interesting avenue for transformation. By offering tax benefits for investments in economically distressed areas, the program has the potential to spur revitalization and development in communities that need it most. The second round, with a focus on rural areas and simplified incentives, could attract even more investment and, hopefully, lead to real improvements in local real estate markets.
  • Easing the Burden in High-Tax States: The proposed increase in the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap is a significant point, especially for homeowners in states with high property taxes and income taxes. Raising the cap to $30,000 for those earning under $400,000 could ease the financial burden for many and potentially make homeownership more affordable in these areas. However, this provision has been a subject of much debate, and its final form in the Senate could differ.
  • Estate Planning and Real Estate: The increase in the lifetime estate and gift tax exemption is primarily aimed at high-net-worth individuals, but it could indirectly influence the high-end real estate market. With a higher exemption, individuals might be more inclined to invest in real estate as part of their estate planning strategies.
  • Supporting Rural Communities: The partial tax exclusion for interest income on rural/agricultural real property loans is a welcome provision for those involved in agricultural real estate. By potentially lowering borrowing costs, it could encourage investment and development in rural areas, which are often overlooked.
  • Maintaining Mortgage Interest Deduction Limits: The permanent extension of the TCJA limits on the mortgage interest deduction provides continued support for homeownership. While the deduction remains a key benefit, the limits for higher earners might have a slight cooling effect on the luxury housing market.

Beyond the Bricks: Broader Economic Ripples

It's crucial to remember that the real estate market doesn't operate in a vacuum. The “One Big Beautiful Bill's” broader economic implications could have just as significant an impact as the specific real estate provisions. If the bill succeeds in stimulating economic growth, as proponents hope, we could see increased job creation and consumer confidence, which would naturally translate to higher demand for both residential and commercial properties.

Furthermore, the claim of significant deficit reduction could lead to more stable long-term economic conditions, which are generally favorable for real estate investment. However, it's important to acknowledge the concerns raised by organizations like the Tax Foundation regarding certain provisions and their potential impact on fiscal outcomes. Any instability in the broader economy could certainly cast a shadow over the real estate market.

The Road Ahead: Navigating Uncertainty

While the House passage is a major step, the “One Big Beautiful Bill” still faces a potentially challenging journey through the Senate. Significant changes and compromises are entirely possible. Provisions could be altered, new ones could be added, or the bill could even face significant opposition.

As someone deeply invested in the real estate landscape, I'll be watching the Senate deliberations very closely. The final version of this bill could look quite different from what has currently been passed by the House. Real estate professionals, investors, and homeowners need to stay informed and be prepared to adapt to any changes that may come.

My Final Thoughts

The “One Big Beautiful Bill” presents a fascinating and potentially transformative moment for the real estate market. The combination of extended tax cuts, new incentives for businesses and affordable housing, and the preservation of key investment tools like Section 1031 exchanges holds significant promise. However, the uncertainties surrounding its passage through the Senate mean that we need to approach predictions with a degree of caution.

Ultimately, whether this bill truly lives up to its name and delivers a “beautiful” transformation for the real estate market remains to be seen. But one thing is for sure: the coming months will be crucial, and the decisions made in Washington will have a lasting impact on the places we live, work, and invest.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

Housing Market is Shifting to Become Buyer-Friendly in Mid-2025

by

Remember those crazy days, just a few years ago, when trying to buy a house felt like competing in the Olympics? Bidding wars, sky-high prices, and barely any time to even think before making a huge offer. Well, things are changing, and as we move through 2025, it's becoming clear that the housing market is becoming buyer-friendly. For the first time in what feels like ages, the scales are starting to tip in favor of those looking to purchase a home, and there are several key reasons why.

Housing Market is Shifting to Become Buyer-Friendly in Mid-2025

As someone who's been watching the real estate scene for quite some time now, I can tell you this shift is significant. It's not just a minor adjustment; it's a noticeable easing of the intense pressure buyers have been under. Let's dig into the data and understand why this change is happening and what it means for you if you're in the market to buy a home.

More Choices Than Ever: Inventory on the Rise

One of the most significant indicators of a buyer-friendly market is the number of homes available for sale. For what seems like an eternity, the supply of houses couldn't keep up with the demand. This scarcity drove prices up and left buyers with very few options. However, I'm seeing a welcome change in this regard. Recent data from Realtor.com in June 2025 highlights a crucial milestone: for the first time since late 2019, there are over a million active listings on the market.

Think about that for a moment. More than a million homes across the country available for buyers to consider. This surge in inventory is a game-changer. It means buyers have more power to negotiate, more time to make decisions, and a wider range of properties to choose from. I believe this increase is partly due to more homeowners feeling comfortable listing their properties as the frantic pace of the pandemic-era market has cooled down, and also due to the efforts of homebuilders finally catching up with some of the pent-up demand.

Mortgage Rates Take a Breath: A Sigh of Relief for Buyers

Another crucial factor influencing the housing market is mortgage rates. We all know how sensitive the housing market is to these rates. Even small fluctuations can significantly impact a buyer's purchasing power and monthly payments. While rates in June 2025, hovering in the upper 6% range for a 30-year fixed loan, are still higher than the rock-bottom rates we saw a few years ago, the fact that they dipped for the first time in a month is noteworthy. Furthermore, these rates are lower than they were at the same time last year.

This slight easing in mortgage rates can provide some much-needed breathing room for potential homebuyers. It can translate to slightly lower monthly payments, making homeownership more accessible for some. While I don't expect rates to plummet overnight, this downward trend, even if modest, is a positive sign for buyers. It suggests that the intense upward pressure on borrowing costs might be starting to subside.

Prices Stabilize: The End of Runaway Appreciation?

For years, it felt like home prices were on an unstoppable upward trajectory. It was a constant worry for aspiring homeowners wondering if they'd ever be able to afford a place of their own. But the data from May 2025 indicates a significant shift: home prices were roughly flat. This doesn't necessarily mean prices are falling dramatically across the board, but it does signal a cooling off of the rapid price appreciation we've witnessed.

This price stabilization is a direct consequence of the increased inventory. With more homes on the market, sellers are finding it harder to command exorbitant prices. Buyers now have more leverage to negotiate, and we're even seeing a growing number of price cuts. In fact, in May 2025, 19.1% of listings reported price cuts, the highest share for any May since at least July 2016. This trend of increasing price reductions for five consecutive months further solidifies the shift towards a more buyer-friendly environment.

Time is on Your Side: Homes Taking Longer to Sell

Remember when homes would get multiple offers within hours of being listed? Those days seem to be fading, at least for now. The data shows that in May 2025, homes spent a median of 51 days on the market, which is six more days than a year ago. While still relatively fast compared to historical norms, this increase in the time homes stay on the market indicates a significant power shift.

Buyers now have more time to consider their options, conduct thorough inspections, and negotiate terms without the intense pressure of immediate competition. This extra time can be invaluable in making such a significant financial decision. It allows for more thoughtful consideration and reduces the risk of buyers feeling rushed into a purchase they might later regret.

Pending Home Sales Reflect Shifting Dynamics

While the overall picture points towards a buyer-friendly market, the dip in pending home sales (homes under contract), which fell by 2.5% compared with last year, is worth noting. This suggests that despite the increased inventory and stabilizing prices, the earlier rise in mortgage rates might have still had a lingering effect on buyer demand. It's a reminder that the housing market is complex and influenced by various factors.

However, I interpret this not as a sign that the market is swinging back towards sellers, but rather as a natural recalibration. Buyers are being more cautious and deliberate in their decisions, which is understandable given the recent volatility in interest rates.

Regional Differences Matter: Not All Markets Are Created Equal

It's crucial to remember that the national housing market is an aggregate of many local markets, and conditions can vary significantly from one region to another. As the Realtor.com report points out, not every housing market is equally well-supplied. Factors like recent construction trends play a significant role in the availability of homes in different areas.

For instance, areas that have seen significant new construction are likely to have a more pronounced increase in inventory compared to areas with limited new building activity. Therefore, if you're looking to buy, it's essential to focus on the specific conditions in your target location. Talk to local real estate agents and do your research to understand the dynamics at play in your desired area.

International Interest: A Subtle Influence

The Realtor.com International Demand Report offers another interesting perspective, showing a slight growth in the share of international shoppers in the first quarter of 2025. While this might not be a primary driver of the overall market shift, it does indicate continued interest in the U.S. housing market from overseas buyers, particularly in coastal magnets and increasingly in Texas markets.

However, the report also noted a drop in interest from potential Canadian homebuyers, likely due to recent trade and other policies. This highlights how global economic and political factors can also have a subtle impact on the U.S. housing market.

The Future Looks Brighter for Buyers

Based on the data and my observations, the trend towards a housing market becoming buyer friendly in 2025 seems firmly in place. The combination of increased inventory, stabilizing prices, slightly easing mortgage rates, and more time for buyers to make decisions creates a more balanced and favorable environment for those looking to purchase a home.

While the market is still dynamic and subject to change, the current conditions offer a welcome respite from the intense competition and affordability challenges of recent years. If you've been on the sidelines, waiting for the right time to buy, now might be the moment to seriously consider your options.

In conclusion, the housing market in 2025 has indeed become more buyer friendly due to a rise in available homes, a slight dip in mortgage rates, flattening prices, and houses taking longer to sell, offering buyers more choices and negotiating power.

Capitalize on Buyer-Friendly Conditions

The real estate market is shifting in favor of buyers this year, offering more choices, price flexibility, and less competition.

Norada helps you take full advantage of these buyer-friendly conditions by connecting you with high-potential properties in stable, growth-oriented markets.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Recommended Read:

Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?

by

Will home prices bottom out in 2025? No, while the wild price increases of the pandemic years have cooled down, experts predict continued, albeit slower, growth. We're talking about increases in the range of 1.3% to 3.5%, according to various forecasts. This means the market is stabilizing, not crashing, and we're unlikely to see a massive drop in home values.

Let's dive into why this is the case and explore what's really happening in the housing market.

Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?

The Housing Market Today: A Look at the Numbers

As we move through 2025, it's important to look at the most recent data to get a clear picture. It's easy to get caught up in headlines, but numbers tell a more grounded story. Here's a snapshot of what's happening:

  • Price Growth: The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed a 4.1% annual gain in January 2025. While not the explosive growth of previous years, it's still positive.
  • Median Home Price: The median existing home sale price hit $398,400 in February 2025, marking 20 straight months of year-over-year increases, says the National Association of Realtors.
  • Expert Predictions: Experts are forecasting continued increases. J.P. Morgan Research anticipates a 3% rise, while Fannie Mae estimates a 3.5% increase. The Mortgage Bankers Association is a bit more conservative, projecting a 1.3% rise.

Here's a quick look at those expert forecasts:

Source Prediction for 2025 Home Price Growth
J.P. Morgan Research 3%
Fannie Mae 3.5%
Mortgage Bankers Association 1.3%

Personally, I see these figures as a sign of a market that's finding its footing after a period of intense activity. The days of bidding wars and houses selling for way over asking price seem to be behind us, but that doesn't mean the market is about to collapse.

Why a 2025 Bottom Out is Unlikely

A lot of people are nervous about the housing market because they remember the crash of 2008. But the situation today is very different. Here's why:

  • Low Inventory: There simply aren't enough homes for sale. The housing supply is only around 3.5 months' worth, which is far below the 5–6 months needed for a balanced market. This lack of homes keeps prices from falling too much.
  • Mortgage Rates: While mortgage rates have been up, they aren't so high that they're completely stopping people from buying homes. Plus, with potential rate cuts on the horizon, this could ease things a bit.
  • Economic Stability: The economy, while not perfect, is generally stable. Inflation has cooled down, which means the Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates aggressively.
  • Strong Demand: There's still a lot of demand for homes, especially from Millennials and Gen Z, many of whom are entering their prime home-buying years.
  • Stricter Lending Standards: Banks are much more careful about who they lend money to than they were in the years leading up to the 2008 crash. This means fewer people are taking out loans they can't afford, which reduces the risk of foreclosures.

Learning from the Past: The 2008 Exception

It's important to remember that the 2008 housing crisis was an exception, not the rule. The crisis was caused by:

  • Subprime Lending: Banks were giving mortgages to people who couldn't afford them.
  • Overbuilding: There were too many homes being built.
  • Speculative Buying: People were buying homes hoping to quickly flip them for a profit.

These factors aren't as prevalent today. Foreclosures are down, indicating that people are generally able to keep up with their mortgage payments. This is a huge difference from 2008.

Factors Influencing Home Prices in 2025 (and Beyond)

Let's dig into some of the key factors that will continue to shape the housing market:

  1. Persistent Low Inventory:
    • The housing shortage is a big deal. Builders haven't been able to keep up with demand, especially after the pandemic.
    • There are several reasons for this shortage:
      • Labor shortages in the construction industry.
      • Rising material costs.
      • Zoning regulations that limit the construction of new homes.
    • The lack of homes means that when a good property comes on the market, it tends to attract a lot of interest, which helps to support prices.
  2. Mortgage Rates and Affordability:
    • Mortgage rates have a direct impact on how much people can afford to spend on a home. When rates go up, affordability goes down.
    • In 2025, rates are expected to hover in the mid-to-high 6% range.
    • This has definitely made it harder for some people to buy homes, but it hasn't completely stopped them.
    • The Federal Reserve's decisions about interest rates will continue to play a big role in the housing market. Any rate cuts could provide a boost to demand.
  3. Economic Stability:
    • A healthy economy is good for the housing market. When people have jobs and feel confident about the future, they're more likely to buy homes.
    • Inflation is a key factor to watch. If inflation stays under control, the Federal Reserve won't need to raise interest rates aggressively.
    • The labor market is also important. A strong job market means more people can afford to buy homes.
  4. Regional Variations:
    • The housing market isn't the same everywhere. Some cities and regions are doing better than others.
    • For example, some areas that are prone to natural disasters, like hurricanes or wildfires, may see price pressures due to rising insurance costs.
    • On the other hand, some Midwest markets are seeing strong demand and limited supply, which is driving up prices.
    • It's important to look at what's happening in your local market to get a sense of what's likely to happen to home prices.
  5. High Construction Costs:
    • The high cost of building new homes is making it harder to increase the housing supply.
    • Builders are facing challenges like:
      • High material costs (lumber, steel, etc.).
      • Labor shortages.
      • Rising land costs.
    • This is limiting the number of new homes being built, which is helping to support prices for existing homes.

What About a Recession?

Many people worry about the impact of a potential recession on the housing market. Historically, home prices haven't always fallen during recessions. In fact, in many cases, they've remained relatively stable.

The 2008 crash was an exception because it was caused by problems within the housing market itself (subprime lending, overbuilding, etc.). If we were to enter a recession now, it would likely have less of an impact on home prices because the underlying issues that caused the 2008 crisis aren't present today.

My Take: A Balanced Perspective

As someone who's followed the housing market for a long time, I think it's important to have a balanced perspective. It's easy to get caught up in the headlines and make decisions based on fear or greed. But the reality is that the housing market is complex, and there are many factors that can influence prices.

I believe that the most likely scenario for 2025 is continued, moderate price growth. I don't see a crash coming, but I also don't expect to see the same kind of rapid price increases that we saw during the pandemic.

What This Means for You

  • For Buyers: If you're thinking about buying a home, don't try to time the market. Focus on finding a home that you can afford and that meets your needs. Waiting for prices to bottom out might mean missing out on the opportunity to buy a home that you love.
  • For Sellers: If you're thinking about selling your home, now is still a good time to do it. Prices are still relatively high, and there's still demand from buyers. Just be realistic about your expectations and don't overprice your home.
  • For Investors: If you're an investor, the housing market can still offer opportunities, but it's important to do your research and understand the risks. Focus on areas with strong fundamentals, like job growth and population growth.

In Conclusion

The data suggests that home prices are unlikely to bottom out in 2025. Instead, we can expect a more stable market with modest price increases. While there are always risks and uncertainties, the fundamentals of the housing market remain solid.

Remember, it's crucial to stay informed, consult with experts, and make decisions that align with your personal circumstances and financial goals. The housing market is a big investment, and it pays to be prepared.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty

by

Is economic uncertainty giving you the jitters? While tariffs and market volatility might sound scary, believe it or not, real estate can actually thrive during tariffs-led economic uncertainty. It's all about understanding market dynamics and employing creative strategies. In this article, I'll share my insights on how you can leverage market fluctuations to your advantage and why real estate can be a safe haven when other investment options seem risky.

Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty

Understanding the Economic Anxiety

It's easy to get caught up in the headlines when news about trade wars and fluctuating interest rates floods the media. The stock market often reacts with knee-jerk dips, and suddenly, everyone's retirement accounts seem a little less secure. I know, I've been there myself, watching the numbers fluctuate and wondering if I should be making changes. However, panicking is rarely the answer. Instead, it's crucial to understand what's driving this anxiety and how it affects different sectors, particularly real estate.

When there's talk about tariffs and trade tensions, businesses start to worry about increased costs and potential disruptions to supply chains. This can lead to:

  • Reduced investments
  • Hiring freezes
  • Overall economic slowdown

The stock market, being forward-looking, reflects these anxieties almost immediately.

Why Real Estate Can Be a Safe Haven

Now, here's where the real estate market comes into play. Unlike stocks, real estate is a tangible asset. It's not just numbers on a screen; it's a physical property that provides shelter, serves as a business location, and holds intrinsic value. This inherent value makes real estate a relatively stable investment during times of uncertainty. Here's why:

  • Essential Need: Everyone needs a place to live or conduct business, regardless of economic conditions. This fundamental demand helps to keep the real estate market afloat, even when other sectors are struggling.
  • Inflation Hedge: Real estate often acts as a hedge against inflation. As prices for goods and services rise, so does the value of real estate, helping to preserve your investment's purchasing power.
  • Rental Income: Investment properties can generate rental income, providing a steady stream of cash flow that is less susceptible to market volatility.
  • Tangible Asset: Unlike stocks, real estate is a physical asset. You can see it, touch it, and improve it, making it a more secure investment in times of uncertainty.
  • Long-Term Investment: Real estate is generally a long-term investment. This means that you are less likely to be affected by short-term market fluctuations.
  • Opportunity to add value: With real estate there is the possibility of adding value to the property and thus increasing its worth.

How Economic Uncertainty Can Create Real Estate Opportunities

The fear and uncertainty caused by tariffs and market downturns can actually create unique opportunities for savvy real estate investors. Here's how:

  • Motivated Sellers: When the economy is shaky, some homeowners may feel pressured to sell quickly. They might be facing job losses, financial difficulties, or simply a desire to downsize and reduce their financial burden. This can lead to motivated sellers who are willing to negotiate on price and terms.
  • Reduced Competition: During uncertain times, many traditional buyers may become hesitant to enter the market. Rising interest rates and tighter lending standards can sideline potential homebuyers, reducing competition and giving investors an edge.
  • Distressed Properties: Economic downturns can lead to an increase in foreclosures and distressed properties. These properties often come with significant discounts, providing opportunities for investors to buy low and potentially generate substantial returns.

Specific Strategies for Thriving in a Tariff-Led Environment

So, how can you specifically leverage these opportunities to thrive in the real estate market during a tariff-led economic uncertainty? Here are some strategies that I believe are particularly effective:

  • Focus on Value-Add Properties: Look for properties that have the potential for improvement. This could involve renovations, upgrades, or even rezoning. By adding value to a property, you can increase its appeal and potential rental income, making it more resilient to market fluctuations.
  • Explore Emerging Markets: Consider investing in emerging markets or up-and-coming neighborhoods. These areas often offer lower prices and higher potential for growth compared to established markets. Thorough research and due diligence are essential when exploring emerging markets.
  • Diversify Your Portfolio: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your real estate portfolio by investing in different types of properties (residential, commercial, etc.) and in different geographic locations. This will help to mitigate risk and protect your investments from localized economic downturns.
  • Be a Problem Solver: Many sellers facing difficulties want a quick and easy solution to their real estate problems. This is where you can step in and offer a solution that works for both of you. By being a problem solver, you can find lucrative real estate deals that others might overlook.

Example Scenario:

Imagine a homeowner who owns a small manufacturing business. Due to new tariffs on imported materials, their business is struggling. They are behind on mortgage payments and worried about foreclosure. A traditional buyer might be hesitant to purchase the property due to the uncertainty surrounding the business.

However, as a savvy real estate investor, you can offer a solution. You might propose to buy the property at a fair price, allowing the homeowner to avoid foreclosure and get back on their feet. You can then repurpose the property, rent it out, or even sell it for a profit once the economy stabilizes.

The Importance of Due Diligence

While real estate can offer opportunities during times of uncertainty, it's crucial to conduct thorough due diligence before making any investment decisions. This includes:

  • Market Research: Understand the local market conditions, including vacancy rates, rental rates, and property values.
  • Property Inspection: Have the property inspected by a qualified professional to identify any potential issues or repairs.
  • Financial Analysis: Carefully analyze the potential cash flow, expenses, and return on investment for each property.
  • Legal Review: Consult with a real estate attorney to review all contracts and documents.

My Personal Perspective

I've seen firsthand how economic uncertainty can create both challenges and opportunities in the real estate market. While it's important to be cautious and do your research, I believe that real estate can be a valuable asset in any portfolio, especially during times of volatility. By understanding market dynamics, employing creative strategies, and conducting thorough due diligence, you can position yourself to thrive in the real estate market, regardless of what the economy throws your way.

Final Thoughts

Don't let the headlines scare you away from the real estate market. While tariffs and market downturns can create anxiety, they also present unique opportunities for those who are prepared. By understanding the fundamentals of the market, being creative, and conducting thorough due diligence, you can leverage these opportunities to build a successful real estate portfolio. Real estate offers a tangible asset that can provide stability, income, and long-term growth, making it a valuable addition to any investment strategy, especially during times of economic uncertainty.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Nationwide Housing Market Correction Predicted by the End of 2025

by

If you've been eagerly watching the housing market, waiting for some relief from those sky-high prices, there might be some good news on the horizon. According to a recent forecast by Redfin, a brokerage and listings site, the seemingly unstoppable climb of the housing market is expected to take a pause, with a nationwide price decline anticipated by the end of 2025. While a significant crash isn't predicted, this shift signals a notable change from the heated market we've experienced in recent years.

Nationwide Housing Market Correction Predicted by the End of 2025

For a long time, it felt like home prices could only go up. From 2012, barring a brief dip in 2023, we saw a consistent upward trajectory, fueled by low inventory and high demand. The post-pandemic boom only amplified this, with bidding wars becoming the norm. However, the latest data suggests the tide is turning, and understanding why is crucial for both potential homebuyers and current homeowners.

The Drag of Elevated Mortgage Rates

In my opinion, the primary culprit behind this anticipated slowdown is the persistent elevation of mortgage rates. Redfin predicts these rates will hover around 7% for much of the coming year. Think about it: a higher mortgage rate directly impacts what a buyer can afford. Suddenly, that dream home comes with a much bigger monthly payment, pushing many would-be buyers to the sidelines.

This is a stark contrast to the years when historically low mortgage rates fueled the buying frenzy. Back then, even with rising prices, the cost of borrowing remained relatively manageable. Now, with rates staying high, the math simply doesn't work for as many people. As a result, the intense buyer competition we were used to is fading.

More Homes on the Market, Fewer Eager Buyers

The data from Redfin paints a clear picture of this shift. In April, the number of homes for sale jumped by a significant 16.7% compared to the previous year, reaching its highest level in five years. Simultaneously, new listings saw an increase of 8.6%. On the other side of the equation, sales of existing homes fell by 1.1% year-over-year, hitting a six-month low. Moreover, homes that did sell took longer to find a buyer, averaging around 45 days, which is five days more than the year before.

To me, this is a classic case of supply and demand adjusting. The surge in mortgage rates has cooled buyer demand, while more sellers, perhaps realizing the peak frenzy has passed, are putting their homes on the market. This increased inventory, coupled with decreased buyer interest, naturally puts downward pressure on prices.

The Mechanics of a Cooling Market

This shift doesn't necessarily mean a dramatic collapse. Instead, I anticipate a more gradual adjustment driven by a couple of key factors:

  • Increased negotiation power for buyers: With more homes available and fewer buyers competing fiercely, those who are still in the market gain leverage. They can be more selective, take their time, and even successfully negotiate prices down, particularly for homes that need some work or are in less sought-after areas. Redfin notes that nearly half of sellers are already offering concessions, just shy of a record high.
  • Sellers adjusting their expectations: As homes sit on the market longer, sellers will likely come to terms with the fact that they can't command the same prices they could a year or two ago. This will lead to more realistic list prices that better reflect the current market conditions. Some savvy sellers might even price slightly below comparable homes to attract buyers in a less competitive environment.

One piece of advice I'd offer, echoing Redfin agents, is for buyers to keep an eye on homes that have been on the market for a while. These properties often present the best opportunities for negotiation. Don't be afraid to submit offers below the asking price or ask for concessions like assistance with closing costs or funds for necessary repairs.

Not All Markets Are Created Equal

It's important to remember that real estate is inherently local. While the forecast points to a nationwide price decline of about 1% by the end of 2025, this average will mask variations across different metro areas. Redfin economists anticipate more significant price drops in some regions, while areas with more resilient demand, particularly in the Midwest and Northeast, may continue to see price increases, albeit potentially at a slower pace.

My own experience tells me that local economic factors, population trends, and the specific balance of supply and demand in a given area will play a significant role in how prices move. What happens in a booming tech hub might be very different from a more rural market.

A Silver Lining: Improved Affordability on the Horizon

While a price decline might worry some current homeowners, it offers a glimmer of hope for prospective buyers struggling with affordability. Interestingly, even a modest 1% decrease in home prices, coupled with an anticipated wage growth of around 4%, could lead to a noticeable improvement in homebuying affordability.

However, as Chen Zhao, Redfin’s head of economics research, points out, waiting until the very end of the year for that slight price dip might not be the most strategic move for everyone. The opportunity to negotiate and potentially lock in a deal now could outweigh the benefit of a small price reduction later. Plus, the sooner you buy, the sooner you start building equity in your own home.

Mortgage Rates: The Unpredictable Factor

The forecast hinges significantly on the expectation that mortgage rates will remain around 6.8% until the end of 2025. However, the reality is that mortgage rates are influenced by a complex interplay of economic factors, some of which are difficult to predict with certainty.

According to Zhao, the stubbornness of mortgage rates can be attributed to concerns like tariffs, which can drive up inflation and make the Federal Reserve hesitant to cut rates, and the rising U.S. budget deficit, which has led to credit rating downgrades. While the recent adjustments to proposed tariffs on China are a development to watch, the overall economic uncertainty continues to be a factor influencing both the Fed's decisions and consumer confidence.

In my opinion, any unexpected shifts in inflation, economic growth, or geopolitical events could potentially impact the trajectory of mortgage rates, and consequently, the housing market forecast.

What Does This Mean for You?

If you're a potential homebuyer, this forecast suggests that the intense pressure and rapid price increases of the recent past are likely behind us. You might find more options on the market, have more time to make a decision, and even have the opportunity to negotiate on price and terms.

If you're a current homeowner, especially one who purchased recently at the peak of the market, the prospect of a price decline might be concerning. However, it's important to remember that a modest price correction is different from a crash. For most homeowners with a longer-term perspective, the overall appreciation in value over time is still likely to be positive.

Final Thoughts

The anticipated slowdown in the housing market, driven primarily by persistent high mortgage rates and an increase in inventory, represents a significant shift. While a nationwide price decline is expected by the end of 2025, the impact will vary across different regions. For buyers, this could present opportunities for greater affordability and negotiating power. For sellers, adjusting expectations to the current market conditions will be key. As always, staying informed about local market trends and economic indicators will be crucial for making informed real estate decisions.

Stay Ahead of the 2025 Market Correction

With a nationwide housing market correction predicted by the end of 2025, strategic investing is more important than ever.

Norada guides you toward recession-resistant markets with strong fundamentals and long-term growth potential—helping you make smart, confident moves.

STRATEGIC INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES AVAILABLE NOW!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Recommended Read:

12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026

by

Get ready for a possible shift in the real estate world! Zillow predicts that several housing markets are predicted to decline in double digits by March 2026. Specifically, certain regions in Mississippi, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, and South Carolina are facing potential price drops of over 10%. This news might sound alarming, but let's break down what this forecast means for you, whether you're a homeowner, potential buyer, or just curious about the market.

Have you ever felt like trying to predict the housing market is like trying to predict the weather? One minute it's sunny, the next there's a downpour. Well, recently, the forecast seems to be hinting at some storm clouds gathering over certain areas. As someone who keeps a close eye on these trends, I want to dive deep into Zillow's prediction and explore what might be causing this anticipated dip, and most importantly, what it means for you.

12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026

For a long time, the narrative surrounding the housing market has been one of rising prices and fierce competition. But Zillow's latest report suggests a potential correction. According to their data, U.S. home prices are expected to fall by 1.7% between March 2025 and March 2026. That might not sound like much nationally, but the devil is in the details.

Here’s a quick look at how Zillow’s outlook has shifted in recent months:

  • January: +2.9%
  • February: +1.1%
  • March: +0.8%
  • Now: -1.7%

This consistent downward revision isn’t just a blip; it indicates a fundamental shift in their assessment of the market.

Where Will the Impact Be Felt the Most?

Now, let’s get to the areas predicted to experience the most significant declines. Zillow's forecast specifically highlights 12 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) that are expected to see double-digit percentage drops in home values by March 2026.

Here’s the list, based on Zillow’s data:

RegionName RegionType StateName BaseDate 30-04-2025 30-06-2025 31-03-2026
Greenville, MS msa MS 31-03-2025 -0.9 -4.3 -14.6
Pecos, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -0.4 -2.8 -12.7
Cleveland, MS msa MS 31-03-2025 -0.4 -3.2 -11.9
Big Spring, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -0.5 -2.7 -11.4
Alice, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.3 -3.8 -11.3
Raymondville, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.2 -4.1 -11.2
Helena, AR msa AR 31-03-2025 -0.5 -2.8 -11
Sweetwater, TX msa TX 31-03-2025 -1.3 -3.5 -10.6
Hobbs, NM msa NM 31-03-2025 0 -1.3 -10.5
Opelousas, LA msa LA 31-03-2025 -0.7 -3 -10.3
Houma, LA msa LA 31-03-2025 -0.8 -3 -10.1
Bennettsville, SC msa SC 31-03-2025 -1.5 -3.7 -10

These are relatively smaller markets, and it's crucial to understand why they might be facing these potential declines. Geographic diversity plays a significant role in this analysis.

Why These Areas? Potential Contributing Factors

What factors could be driving these predicted declines? Several possibilities come to mind:

  • Economic conditions: These areas may be experiencing slower economic growth, job losses, or industry downturns, impacting demand for housing.
  • Population shifts: People might be moving away from these areas in search of better opportunities elsewhere.
  • Housing affordability: Even if prices aren't skyrocketing like in major cities, affordability could still be a concern for local residents.
  • Overbuilding: If there’s a surplus of new homes on the market, it can put downward pressure on prices.
  • **Interest Rates: The elephant in the room! As rates rise, mortgages become more expensive, reducing demand, especially in areas where affordability is already strained.
  • **Remote Work: A double edged sword: If these areas did not benefit as much from the shift to remote work like larger metro areas, they may be seeing a correction as people return to offices.

It's likely a combination of these factors that's contributing to the predicted declines.

What Does This Mean for Homeowners?

If you own a home in one of these areas, this forecast might be unsettling. But before you panic, consider these points:

  • Long-term perspective: Real estate is a long-term investment. A short-term dip doesn't necessarily negate long-term gains.
  • Local market knowledge: National forecasts are just that – national. Your local market conditions could be different. Talk to a local real estate agent for a more nuanced perspective.
  • Don't make rash decisions: Selling in a panic could lead to a loss. Assess your situation carefully and make informed decisions.
  • Consider improvements: If you're not planning to sell soon, focus on home improvements that will increase its value and your enjoyment of it.

Opportunities for Buyers?

On the other hand, potential buyers might see this as an opportunity. If prices do decline, it could become more affordable to buy a home in these areas. However, it's crucial to:

  • Do your research: Understand the local market conditions and why prices are declining.
  • Factor in long-term costs: Consider property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs.
  • Don't rush: Take your time to find the right property at the right price.
  • Get pre-approved: Know how much you can afford before you start looking.

Beyond the Numbers: My Personal Take

While Zillow's forecast is a valuable data point, it's important to remember that it's just that – a forecast. No one has a crystal ball, and the housing market is influenced by a multitude of factors that are difficult to predict with certainty.

In my experience, local market knowledge is paramount. What's happening in New York City is drastically different from what's happening in rural Texas. That's why it's crucial to consult with local real estate professionals who understand the nuances of your specific market.

I also believe that fear and greed are often the biggest drivers of market fluctuations. When everyone is panicking, opportunities can arise. Conversely, when everyone is euphoric, it's often a sign that a correction is coming.

The Bigger Picture: A National Perspective

Even with these predicted declines in specific areas, the overall housing market remains complex. Factors like low inventory, rising construction costs, and demographic trends will continue to play a role in shaping the market's future.

It's also worth noting that Zillow's national forecast is not a prediction of a widespread housing market crash. A 1.7% decline is a correction, not a collapse.

Final Thoughts: Staying Informed and Making Smart Choices

The housing markets predicted to decline in double digits by March 2026 may create both challenges and opportunities. Whether you're a homeowner or a potential buyer, the key is to stay informed, do your research, and make smart choices based on your individual circumstances and local market conditions. Don't let fear or greed dictate your decisions. Instead, rely on data, expert advice, and a long-term perspective.

Remember, the real estate market is constantly evolving. What's true today might not be true tomorrow. So, keep learning, keep adapting, and keep an eye on the horizon.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

Top 22 Housing Markets Where Prices Are Predicted to Rise the Most by 2026

by

The housing market rollercoaster continues, and if you're trying to figure out where things are headed, you're not alone. It feels like just yesterday everyone was talking about prices skyrocketing everywhere, and now? Not so much, at least on a national level.

But here's the thing: real estate is local. Always has been, always will be. While the big picture forecast might show a dip, some specific spots are expected to keep climbing. According to the latest analysis from Zillow Research, released in April 2025, there are indeed 22 housing markets where home prices will rise the most over the next 12 months, defying the broader trend they predict for the rest of the country.

So, what's the big picture, according to Zillow? Their updated forecast is predicting a national drop in home values of 1.9% through 2025. That's a pretty significant shift from their earlier expectation of a small increase. They point to more homes hitting the market and mortgage rates staying elevated as the main reasons sellers are having to cut prices to attract buyers.

On the flip side, they do expect existing home sales to tick up slightly, forecasting about 4.2 million sales in 2025, a modest 3.3% bump from the year before. Essentially, they see buyers getting a bit more power and time to shop around, while sellers are adjusting expectations. Rental markets?

They see rents still rising, but at a slower pace, especially for apartments, with demand for single-family rentals holding steady as some folks wait on the sidelines for the buying market to cool off or rates to drop.

But let's get back to those specific places expected to see prices go up. This is where it gets interesting because it highlights the power of local market dynamics even when national headwinds are blowing. As someone who's spent years watching real estate trends, I know that national averages can sometimes hide fascinating stories happening in individual towns and cities.

Understanding the Forecast in Context

Before we dive into the list, let's be super clear: these are forecasts. They're based on complex models that take into account a ton of data – things like current prices, sales trends, inventory levels, rental data, economic indicators, and even search activity on Zillow's own platform. Zillow themselves mention that mortgage rates are in an “especially unpredictable period,” and unforeseen events could always change things. So, treat this list not as a crystal ball, but as a snapshot of where Zillow's models predict the strongest price growth based on the data available in April 2025.

What makes a market potentially buck the national trend of price depreciation? Based on my experience, it often comes down to a few key factors:

  1. Relative Affordability: Even if national prices are high, some smaller or less-discovered markets might still offer value, attracting buyers looking for more bang for their buck.
  2. Limited Supply: If a market simply isn't building many new homes, or has geographical constraints (like being surrounded by mountains or water), limited inventory can keep upward pressure on prices even if demand cools slightly.
  3. Specific Demand Drivers: Is there a major employer expanding? A new amenity like a park or transportation hub? Is it a desirable retirement spot, a recreational haven, or an area seeing an influx of remote workers? Local job growth and population shifts are huge drivers.
  4. Unique Market Characteristics: Some markets just have their own rhythm. Maybe it's a popular vacation spot, a college town with stable demand, or an area benefiting from specific state-level initiatives.

Looking at Zillow's national forecast of a price drop, finding markets predicted to gain value is like finding little islands of appreciation in a sea of slight decline. It tells me these specific areas likely have some combination of the factors above working strongly in their favor, strong enough to counteract the pressure from higher rates and increased national inventory levels.

22 Housing Markets Where Prices Are Predicted to Rise the Most by 2026

Now, let's get to the list everyone wants to see. The data provided ranks markets by their projected price change from March 31, 2025, to March 31, 2026. As requested, I'm grouping markets that have the same forecast percentage and including all markets from Steamboat Springs, CO down to Price, UT in the provided data. This gives us the top ranks, which includes 22 specific markets in total.

Here's the breakdown based on Zillow's April 2025 forecast:

Rank 1

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 3.8%
  • Market: Steamboat Springs, CO

My take: No huge surprise to see a high-end recreational market like Steamboat Springs at the top. Places like this often have limited supply due to geography and strong demand from both second-home buyers and those able to work remotely. Even if the broader market softens, desirability for unique lifestyle locations remains high for a segment of the population.

Rank 2

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 3.0%
  • Market: Maysville, KY

My take: Maysville is an interesting contrast to Steamboat Springs. Often, we see more affordable or smaller regional centers show up on lists like this when larger, more expensive markets cool off. Could this be related to value relative to nearby larger metros, or perhaps specific local economic factors? It highlights that appreciation isn't just confined to famous hotspots.

Rank 3

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.7%
  • Market: Edwards, CO

My take: Another Colorado mountain town ranking high. Edwards is near Vail and Beaver Creek. This reinforces the idea that desirable recreational areas with limited buildable land can often maintain or increase value even in tougher markets, driven by affluent buyers or those prioritizing lifestyle.

Rank 4

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.5%
  • Market: Augusta, ME

My take: As the capital of Maine, Augusta has a stable base of government employment. Maine's popularity as a destination, both for tourists and those seeking a different pace of life (especially after the remote work shift), might be playing a role here. It's another example of a smaller regional center showing predicted resilience.

Rank 5

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.4%
  • Markets:
    • Atlantic City, NJ
    • Alamogordo, NM
    • Berlin, NH

My take: This group is fascinating because they are so different. Atlantic City has the draw of gambling and the shore, but has faced economic challenges. Alamogordo has a military base nearby (Holloman Air Force Base), which provides economic stability. Berlin, NH is a smaller town in northern New Hampshire, an area known for its natural beauty and outdoor recreation. This diversity at the same predicted growth rate tells me different factors are likely driving the forecasts in each location – tourism/recreation in AC and Berlin, and stable employment in Alamogordo.

Rank 6

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.3%
  • Markets:
    • West Plains, MO
    • Jackson, WY

My take: Another pairing of very different markets. Jackson, WY is a world-famous high-end destination similar to Steamboat Springs and Edwards, driven by its proximity to Grand Teton and Yellowstone National Parks and its status as a playground for the wealthy. West Plains, MO, on the other hand, is a regional hub in the Ozarks, likely appealing due to affordability and a slower pace of life. This stark contrast highlights that predicted growth isn't limited to one type of market; it's about specific local supply/demand balances and economic drivers.

Rank 7

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.2%
  • Markets:
    • Mayfield, KY
    • Thomaston, GA

My take: Two more smaller regional markets. Mayfield was notably impacted by a devastating tornado in late 2021; perhaps this forecast reflects ongoing rebuilding or shifting local dynamics post-disaster. Thomaston is south of the Atlanta metro area, potentially benefiting from folks looking further out for affordability or space, though the forecast shows a slight dip in the immediate few months.

Rank 8

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.0%
  • Market: Dodge City, KS

My take: Famous for its Old West history, Dodge City is a regional center in southwest Kansas. Its economy is tied to agriculture and manufacturing. A forecast of 2.0% appreciation here suggests local economic stability is likely underpinning the housing market's resilience compared to national trends.

Rank 9

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 1.9%
  • Markets:
    • Kingston, NY
    • Statesboro, GA
    • Keene, NH
    • Cedartown, GA
    • Clewiston, FL
    • Butte, MT

My take: This is the largest group by far, showing a cluster of markets all predicted to see modest appreciation around 1.9%. We see a mix here: Kingston, NY (Hudson Valley, potentially benefiting from proximity to NYC); Statesboro and Cedartown, GA (smaller Georgia cities); Keene, NH (southwest NH); Clewiston, FL (inland Florida, near Lake Okeechobee); and Butte, MT (historic mining town, now a regional center). The common thread here might be relative affordability compared to nearby larger areas or specific local economic anchors keeping demand steady.

Rank 10

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 1.8%
  • Markets:
    • Rochester, NY
    • Laconia, NH
    • Brevard, NC
    • Price, UT

My take: This final group also shows diversity. Rochester, NY is a larger metro area than most on this list. Laconia, NH is in the Lakes Region. Brevard, NC is in the mountains near Asheville, another area popular for recreation and lifestyle. Price, UT is in a more rural part of central Utah. The presence of Rochester suggests that even some larger, more established metros might find stability and slight growth, perhaps driven by specific neighborhoods, educational institutions, or industries within the city. The others again lean towards smaller, potentially more affordable, or recreation-adjacent areas.

Here's a table summarizing these markets by their predicted appreciation rate:

Rank Predicted Price Increase (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026) Market(s)
1 3.8% Steamboat Springs, CO
2 3.0% Maysville, KY
3 2.7% Edwards, CO
4 2.5% Augusta, ME
5 2.4% Atlantic City, NJ; Alamogordo, NM; Berlin, NH
6 2.3% West Plains, MO; Jackson, WY
7 2.2% Mayfield, KY; Thomaston, GA
8 2.0% Dodge City, KS
9 1.9% Kingston, NY; Statesboro, GA; Keene, NH; Cedartown, GA; Clewiston, FL; Butte, MT
10 1.8% Rochester, NY; Laconia, NH; Brevard, NC; Price, UT

Data Source: Zillow Home Value and Home Sales Forecast, April 2025

What Can We Learn from This List?

Looking at this list, a few things jump out at me:

  • It's Not Just One Type of Market: We see a mix of high-end recreational areas (Steamboat, Edwards, Jackson), smaller regional centers (Maysville, Augusta, West Plains, Dodge City, Statesboro, Cedartown, Keene, Berlin, Butte, Price), and some unique cases like Atlantic City or markets potentially benefiting from spillover affordability (Thomaston, Kingston).
  • Affordability Matters: Many of these markets, outside of the high-end Colorado and Wyoming examples, are relatively more affordable than major coastal metros or Sunbelt boomtowns that saw massive price increases earlier in the cycle. Could this predicted growth be a function of delayed affordability corrections or continued demand for value? I think that's definitely a factor.
  • Local Anchors are Key: Stable employment sources (military bases, government jobs), recreational appeal, or simply being a necessary regional hub seem to be providing enough underlying demand to support price increases even when national conditions are softer.
  • Modest Growth is Still Growth: While 3.8% or even 1.8% might seem small compared to the double-digit appreciation we saw in 2020-2022, in a period where the national forecast is negative, any positive growth is notable. It suggests these markets have strong fundamentals relative to the current economic and interest rate environment.

My Thoughts on Navigating the Market

Based on this data and my understanding of market cycles, here's my perspective:

First, remember that a forecast is just a forecast. It's a model's best guess based on current information. Things can change. Mortgage rates could drop faster (or slower) than expected. The economy could surprise us. Local factors in any of these markets could shift.

Second, if you're looking to buy or invest, particularly in one of these markets, this data is a piece of the puzzle, not the whole picture. You still need to do your homework on the ground. What are inventory levels really like right now in that specific town or neighborhood? What are the local job prospects? What's the condition of the homes? How do the prices compare to historical averages for that specific market, not just the national trend?

Third, this reinforces the power of diversification if you're thinking about real estate investment. While national trends matter, having exposure to different types of markets – some larger, some smaller, some driven by different economic factors – can help buffer against downturns in any single area.

Finally, for most people, buying a home is about more than just appreciation potential. It's about finding a place to live, raise a family, or build a life. While potential price growth is a nice bonus, focusing too much on short-term forecasts (even ones looking out a year like this) might distract from finding the right home for your needs and budget in a community you actually want to live in. The predicted growth rates here, while positive, are relatively modest. This isn't a signal of a new boom, but rather resilience.

In conclusion, while Zillow's April 2025 forecast paints a picture of slight price declines nationally, these 22 markets (grouped into 10 ranks) from Steamboat Springs, CO, down to Price, UT, are predicted by their models to see home prices continue to climb, albeit modestly, by early 2026.

They represent a fascinating mix of recreational hotspots and smaller regional centers, each likely driven by unique local factors strong enough to counteract the national headwinds of higher rates and increased supply. It's a strong reminder that even in a complex and uncertain housing market, opportunities for appreciation exist, but they're highly localized and require careful, specific research.

Invest in the Fastest-Growing Housing Markets

Looking to build long-term wealth? Norada identifies top housing markets with the highest growth potential projected through 2026.

Get access to pre-vetted properties in emerging cities before they become unaffordable hot zones.

HOT NEW LISTINGS JUST ADDED!

Talk to a Norada investment counselor today (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

by

Are you dreaming of owning a home? You're probably wondering what the future holds. So, let's cut to the chase: The housing market in 2026 is expected to be more balanced than it has been in recent years, with moderate price growth, stabilizing interest rates, and increased sales activity. While it won't be a complete walk in the park, there's a good chance it'll be a bit easier for buyers than it has been. Let’s dive deeper into what you can expect.

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

Home Prices: Are We Finally Seeing Some Relief?

Remember those crazy bidding wars and prices going through the roof? Well, experts think things will cool down a bit.

  • The National Association of Realtors (NAR) thinks the median home price will hit $420,000 in 2026, which is about a 2% jump from 2025.
  • Fannie Mae surveyed over 100 housing experts, and they're predicting home price growth will slow to 3.6% in 2026, which is less than the 5.2% we saw in 2024.
  • Zillow economists are projecting that U.S. home prices, as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index, will fall -1.7% between March 2025 and March 2026.
  • The U.S. News Housing Market Index thinks prices will go up a total of 17% from 2024 to 2029, which means prices will go up slowly each year starting in 2026.

This means that the big price jumps we saw a few years ago are probably over. Prices will still go up, but not as fast. That's good news for buyers, but remember that in some areas with lots of demand, houses will still be expensive.

Mortgage Rates: Will They Ever Go Down?

Mortgage rates are a big deal. They decide how much it costs to borrow money to buy a house. In 2025, rates have been pretty high, around 6-7%. Let's see what the experts think will happen in 2026:

  • NAR says mortgage rates will stay around 6% through 2026.
  • Fannie Mae thinks rates will be around 6% by the end of 2026.
  • J.P. Morgan is a bit more cautious, predicting rates will only drop to 6.7% by the end of 2025.

The important thing to remember is that mortgage rates depend on things like inflation and what the Federal Reserve does. If inflation goes down, rates could go down too. But, as Bankrate points out, anything can happen with the economy and government policies, so rates could change quickly.

Home Sales: Will More People Be Buying and Selling?

High mortgage rates have made it harder for people to buy houses, so sales have been down. But, experts think things will pick up in 2026:

  • NAR‘s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, thinks sales of existing homes will go up 13% in 2026.
  • Sales of new homes are predicted to go up 8% in 2026.
  • Bankrate says sales of existing homes could go up 10-15% in 2026.

This increase in sales will happen because mortgage rates will become more stable, there will be more houses available, and the economy will hopefully be doing well. All of these things will encourage people to buy homes.

Are There Enough Houses to Buy? The Supply and Demand Puzzle

For a while now, there haven't been enough houses for sale. This has made prices go up and made it hard for buyers. Let's see if this will change in 2026:

  • The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) says builders will start building more single-family homes, about 1.05 million in 2026.
  • But, fewer apartment buildings will be built. This could make it harder to find a place to rent and could push rent prices up.
  • The U.S. News Housing Market Index estimates that there are still not enough houses, about 4.5 million short. They think this problem will slowly get better between 2025 and 2030.

So, more houses are being built, but it will take time to catch up with the demand. More houses for sale will help balance the market and make it easier to find a home.

What Else Could Affect the Housing Market?

Lots of things outside of just prices and rates can have a big impact:

  • The Economy: If the economy is doing well and people have jobs, more people will be able to buy houses.
  • Government Policies: New laws about housing and taxes can change the market.
  • Climate Change: The cost of insurance and building materials is going up because of climate change. This will make it more expensive to own a home, especially in areas that are prone to floods or fires.
  • Where People Want to Live: More people are moving to cities, which will make it harder to find housing in those areas. Also, as older people downsize, more homes could become available in some markets.

Where You Live Matters: Regional Differences

The housing market is different depending on where you are. Some areas will do better than others:

  • Areas with lots of jobs, growing populations, and not enough houses, like parts of the Midwest, might see prices go up more.
  • Expensive cities on the coasts might not grow as fast because they are already so expensive.
  • Bankrate says some areas in the South, like Texas and Florida, might not do as well because there are too many houses for sale and climate change is making it more expensive to live there.

If you're thinking of buying or selling, it's important to look at what's happening in your local market.

Opportunities for Investors

For investors, 2026 could bring some interesting chances. Some people who have adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) might see their rates go up, which could create opportunities for investors to buy properties. Also, managing properties efficiently is becoming more important as costs go up, so investors who use technology and smart management strategies could do well.

My Final Thoughts

Overall, the housing market in 2026 looks like it will be more stable than it has been in the past few years. Prices will probably go up slowly, mortgage rates will hopefully stay around 6%, and there will be more houses for sale.

If you're a buyer, 2026 could be a good year to start looking, as there will be more choices and less competition. If you're a seller, you might not get as much money as you would have a few years ago, but there will still be buyers out there.

Remember, things can change, and it's always a good idea to talk to a real estate professional in your area before making any big decisions. Good luck with your home-buying or selling journey!

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact Norada today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

Blog Posts

Contact

Norada Real Estate Investments 30251 Golden Lantern, Suite E-261 Laguna Niguel, CA 92677

(949) 218-6668
(800) 611-3060
BBB