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Housing Market Shifts With Pandemic Boomtowns Leading in Price Drops

August 27, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Market Shift 2025: Pandemic Boomtowns Lead in Price Drops

Tired of hearing about sky-high housing prices? Well, there's good news! Pandemic boomtowns are leading the way in housing price cuts in 2025. According to Zillow, a whopping 26.6% of for-sale listings saw a price reduction this June, signaling a shift in the real estate market and potentially giving buyers a much-needed advantage.

Housing Market Shifts With Pandemic Boomtowns Leading in Price Drops

Why Are We Seeing Price Cuts Now?

Remember the frenzy of the pandemic? Everyone seemed to be moving. Remote work became the norm, and people flocked to cities offering more space, sunshine, and a lower cost of living. These “boomtowns” experienced rapid growth, driving up housing prices to dizzying heights.

However, as things normalize, the tide is turning. Several factors are contributing to this change:

  • Slowing Population Growth: The initial surge of people moving to these boomtowns is slowing down. The demand isn't as intense as it once was.
  • Affordability Ceilings: Let's face it, even with more space and sunshine, there's a limit to what people can afford. Rising mortgage rates and overall inflation are forcing many potential buyers to stay on the sidelines.
  • Increasing Inventory: The number of homes for sale is finally starting to rise. Suddenly, sellers are faced with competition, and they need to make their properties more attractive to buyers.

Where Are Prices Being Cut the Most?

According to recent data from Zillow, here's where you're most likely to find sellers slashing their prices:

  • Denver (38.3%)
  • Raleigh (36.4%)
  • Dallas (35.5%)
  • Nashville (35.5%)
  • Phoenix (35.5%)

Notice a pattern? These are all cities that experienced explosive growth during the pandemic. Now, they're adjusting to a more balanced market.

Are All Cities Seeing Declining Prices?

Not at all. Some markets are still relatively insulated from these price cuts. Cities with limited inventory and strong local economies are holding up better. These include:

  • Milwaukee (13.9%)
  • New York (15.6%)
  • Hartford (16.0%)
  • Buffalo (18.3%)
  • San Jose (22.1%)

In these areas, competition remains fierce because the supply of homes can't keep up with demand.

Which Cities Saw the Biggest Jump in Price Cuts?

Keep an eye on these metros, as they may be cooling down quickly:

  • Kansas City (+5 percentage points)
  • Buffalo (+3.9 percentage points)
  • Indianapolis (+3.8 percentage points)
  • Columbus (+3.3 percentage points)
  • Minneapolis (+3.2 percentage points)

What Does This Mean for Buyers?

If you're a home buyer, this is potentially great. After years of battling other buyers, you might finally have some leverage. Here's what to expect:

  • Fewer Bidding Wars: Say goodbye to the days of offering way over the asking price.
  • More Options: With more homes on the market, you'll have more to choose from.
  • More Time to Decide: You won't feel as rushed to make an offer. You can actually think through this decision.
  • Seller Concessions: Sellers might be willing to offer incentives like paying for some of your closing costs or even buying down your mortgage rate. Remember, these concessions might be back on the table due to an increase of inventory.

What Does This Mean for Sellers?

If you're a seller, it's time to get realistic. The days of easy sales are over. Now, you need to:

  • Price Competitively: Do your research and set a price that reflects current market conditions.
  • Market Your Home Well: High Quality photography is a must — Highlight the best features of your property and make it stand out.
  • Be Prepared to Negotiate: Don't be afraid to compromise to close the deal. Consult with your agent. As a homebuyer, a real estate agent is a must and the small commission fee is worth the headache.

My Thoughts as a Real Estate Enthusiast

I remember back in 2020 and 2021, you couldn't list a house without having multiple offers within hours. People were waiving inspections and paying cash just to get a foot in the door. It was exciting but also felt unsustainable.

Now, we're seeing a more rational market. While I don't expect prices to crash, I do think this rebalancing is healthy. It gives more people a chance to achieve the dream of homeownership.

The data from Zillow is a clear indicator that the housing market is shifting throughout the nation. The rate hikes by the Federal Reverse are also playing a vital role in a declining housing market. I believe that for people looking to enter the housing market, now may be the perfect time while mortgage rates are still at reasonable numbers. Although difficult to do, many will decide whether to purchase a home now or to wait until an anticipated “Crash” into the market.

All the data shows that the market is currently in favor of those looking to purchase something and it is likely that this trend will continue further. While some cities are still doing well, it is important to acknowledge that the times are changing. If you're planning to buy or sell, do your research and work with a knowledgeable real estate professional who can guide you through this new environment. In my opinion, patience and strategic planning will be key to success in the housing market of 2025.

Looking Ahead: While it's hard to predict the future, I expect to see more price cuts in the coming months. Affordability will continue to be a major challenge for many buyers, so sellers will need to adjust their expectations.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact Norada today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Housing Market Predictions 2025 by Norada Real Estate
  • Housing Market Predictions 2025 by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway
  • Will the Housing Market Crash in 2025: What Experts Predict?
  • Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Housing Market Trends, Housing Prices

Housing Market Trends 2025: Buyers Need $200K More Than 10 Years Ago

August 25, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Market Trends 2025: Buyers Need $200K More Than 10 Years Ago

Are you thinking about buying a home? You've probably heard whispers about a shift in the market. So, are we really heading towards a buyer's market? The short answer is yes, but it's complicated. Data from Cotality shows we're in a weird spot where the conditions should favor buyers, but high costs are keeping many on the sidelines. It's like a sale where everything is 50% off, but you still can't afford it.

In other words, we're seeing a transition from a seller's market to a buyer's market, but high prices and interest rates are keeping many potential buyers on the sidelines.

Okay, that's the headline. Now, let's dive into the nitty-gritty and figure out what's really going on and what it means for you, whether you're looking to buy, sell, or just understand the market.

Housing Market Trends 2025: Buyers Need $200K More Than 10 Years Ago

Home Sales: A Market in Transition

For the past few years, sellers have been sitting pretty. Homes were flying off the market, often with multiple offers above the asking price. But things are changing. We're starting to see signals that the tide is turning, and buyers are gaining more power. The key thing to watch is the relationship between the number of homes available (inventory) and whether home prices are falling. More choices for buyers usually mean they have more room to negotiate.

It is a tricky thing to navigate, though. A lot of people are hesitant and don't know what to do with that shift. It's important to be as informed as possible and to speak with people who are experts.

Housing Supply: More Homes, Fewer Buyers?

One of the biggest shifts we're seeing is in the housing supply. The number of homes for sale is going up in many areas. Check out these eye-popping increases in some cities:

  • Toledo, Ohio: Up a whopping 128%
  • Savannah, Georgia: A significant 108% increase
  • Florida: Many areas are seeing inventories rise by over 50%

Here's a table summarizing these changes in the top markets:

Metro Area Active Inventory Sales Days on Market Median Price Change Sold Above Asking Median Price
Toledo, OH 128% -18% 5% 8% -32% $210,000
Savannah, GA 108% -15% 31% 4% -42% $364,000
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 58% -14% 29% 5% -35% $630,000
Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island, FL 58% -29% 19% -15% -55% $615,000
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL 55% -18% 15% -7% -39% $380,000
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 50% -22% 14% 2% -45% $450,000
Asheville, NC 44% -24% 46% -2% -52% $440,000
Stockton-Lodi, CA 40% -17% 32% 2% -39% $540,000
Silver Spring-Frederick-Rockville, MD 36% -16% 33% -3% -38% $602,000
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC 31% -11% 54% 3% -35% $421,050
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL 31% -1% 15% -3% -8% $385,000
Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade, CA 31% -20% 11% 2% -41% $587,500
Fort Smith, AR-OK 31% -24% 8% 11% -18% $224,000
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY 30% -25% 0% 3% -21% $325,000
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 28% -10% 8% 0% -26% $348,300
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 27% -19% 7% 6% -30% $367,000
Boise City, ID 26% 4% 4% 2% -15% $507,500
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, CA 26% 13% 37% 1% -14% $925,000
Salisbury, MD-DE 25% -24% 70% -2% -60% $415,000
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 24% -14% 30% 1% -22% $565,000
Claremont-Lebanon, NH-VT 23% -1% 4% 5% -13% $400,000
Killeen-Temple, TX 22% -14% -3% -4% -27% $267,500
Miami-Miami Beach-Kendall, FL 21% -37% 13% 7% -65% $580,000
Lancaster, PA 20% 4% 0% 6% 11% $339,500
Richmond, VA 20% -12% 2% 2% -22% $408,000

Source: Cotality, 2025

But here's the catch: even with more homes available, they're sitting on the market longer. The number of days a home stays on the market has risen by double digits compared to last year. While this gives buyers more time to consider their options, it also means deals aren't closing as quickly.

Are Home Prices Dropping? The Price Pinch

Now, let's talk about the big question: Are home prices dropping? The answer is a bit complicated. Some sellers are reducing their prices to attract buyers. In May, around 56% of homes sold for below the asking price. This is a much higher percentage than we've seen in the past five years.

However, homebuyers need an extra $200,000 to purchase a median-priced home compared to ten years ago. Ouch! This makes it tough, especially for first-time buyers who are already struggling with rising rents.

Impact of High Mortgage Rates

High mortgage rates have been a major factor in slowing down the market. With rates hovering around 6.58% for a 30-year fixed mortgage (as of 08/21/2025 – Freddie Mac), it's simply more expensive to borrow money. This has a direct impact on affordability and keeps many potential buyers out of the market.

  • 30-year fixed mortgage rate: ~6.58%
  • 15-year fixed mortgage rate: ~5.69%

While rates have come down slightly over the summer, many buyers are still waiting for them to drop further before making a move. Experts predict that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will likely end 2025 somewhere between 6.0% and 6.5%.

Is It a Buyer's or Seller's Housing Market?

So, is it a buyer's or seller's housing market? Technically, we're leaning towards a buyer's market, but with an asterisk.

  • Buyer's Market (kind of): More inventory gives buyers more choices and negotiating power. They can ask for price reductions, help with closing costs, or even mortgage rate buydowns.
  • But…: High prices and interest rates are still a significant hurdle. Many people simply can't afford to buy, even with the slight advantage buyers have right now.

Market Trends: A Closer Look at Specific Areas

The market isn't the same everywhere. Some areas are seeing bigger shifts than others. According to Cotality:

  • Texas and Florida: These states have seen the largest year-over-year increases in inventory. Cities like Naples and Cape Coral in Florida have seen active inventories jump by over 50%.
  • Los Angeles and Washington D.C.: More homes in these cities are selling below the asking price, offering a rare opportunity for buyers, even though prices remain high.

Unsticking the Future: What's Next?

For years, the housing market has been stuck in a stalemate. Owners have stayed put thanks to low interest rates, and rising prices have made it difficult for new buyers to enter the market. But things are starting to change.

People are moving for various reasons: new jobs, growing families, retirement, and other life changes. While buyers have a better chance of finding deals, challenges remain.

Cotality experts predict that home prices will increase by 4.2% by June 2026, even if interest rates stay steady. This means that while buyers have some negotiating power now, external factors might continue to limit both buyers and sellers, potentially weakening the market in the future.

Daniel Boswell, Senior Economist at Cotality, points out that this market primarily benefits those with available cash. He notes that, despite the presence of affordable pockets across the country, significant obstacles persist for most families. These include elevated mortgage rates and increasing insurance premiums.

My Take: Patience and Preparedness are Key

In my opinion, the current market requires a lot of patience and preparation. If you're a buyer, don't rush into anything. Take your time to find the right home and negotiate the best possible deal. If you're a seller, be realistic about pricing and be prepared to make concessions.

Ultimately, the housing market is always changing. The key is to stay informed, work with a trusted real estate professional, and make decisions that are right for your individual circumstances. Don't get caught up in the hype or the fear. Do your homework, and you'll be in a much better position to navigate this complex market.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact Norada today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Housing Market Rebounds: Home Sales Tick Up in July 2025
  • Housing Market Shift 2025: Pandemic Boomtowns Lead in Price Drops
  • Housing Market Predictions 2025 by Norada Real Estate
  • Housing Market Predictions 2025 by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway
  • Will the Housing Market Crash in 2025: What Experts Predict?
  • Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 10 Years: Will Prices Skyrocket?

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Housing Market Trends, Housing Prices

Will the Housing Market Crash in 2025: Expert Forecast

August 22, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Will the Housing Market Crash in 2025: What Experts Predict?

I constantly hear the question that weighs heavily on the minds of so many: Will the housing market crash in 2025? It’s a valid concern, especially after the roller-coaster ride we've all been on. My definitive answer is no, I do not believe the housing market will crash in 2025.

Instead, I see a market rebalancing, becoming more accessible for certain buyers, but ultimately not succumbing to a dramatic collapse. We're looking at a continued, slow shift rather than a sudden plunge. Let me explain why I feel this way, pulling back the curtain on what the pros are predicting and adding my own two cents from years of observation and practical experience.

Will the Housing Market Crash in 2025: Expert Forecast

For many years now, the idea of a housing market “crash” has become almost mythical, often conjuring images of the 2008 financial crisis. I understand why people are so sensitive to this term. That period left deep scars, altering how an entire generation views homeownership and financial stability.

But what I've learned, and what I constantly remind people, is that this isn't 2008. Today's market is built on different foundations, with stronger lending standards, significant homeowner equity, and a persistent supply shortage that acts as a fundamental floor for prices. When I look at the data and consider the real people I work with every day, I see resilience, not fragility.

So, while the headlines might still try to sensationalize every dip, I encourage you to look deeper with me. Let's break down what the major players in the real estate world are expecting for 2025 and why their nuanced predictions paint a picture far removed from a “crash.”

The Forecasters Weigh In: A Look at the Leading Predictions

Different organizations approach market forecasting with slightly different lenses, but when you put their insights together, a clearer picture emerges. I always find it fascinating to see where they converge and where they diverge, because those differences often highlight the specific factors they prioritize.

NAR's Optimistic View: Brighter Days Ahead, Says Lawrence Yun

Lawrence Yun, the Chief Economist for the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR), has a consistently optimistic outlook, and his recent comments at the 2025 REALTORS Legislative Meetings echoed this sentiment. He talks about “brighter days on the horizon,” and from my perspective, this optimism stems largely from the anticipated movement in mortgage rates. He views lower rates as a “magic bullet,” and I can absolutely see why. Even small dips in rates can unlock affordability for many, bringing dormant buyers back into the fold.

Here’s a snapshot of what NAR is predicting for 2025 and beyond:

  • Existing Home Sales: Yun expects a 6% rise in 2025, which he sees accelerating to an 11% climb in 2026. This is a significant recovery in activity after quieter years, and it suggests people will start feeling more comfortable making moves.
  • New Home Sales: He projects a 10% increase in 2025, followed by another 5% in 2026. New construction is so important right now, as it’s the primary way to chip away at our long-standing housing shortage. I truly believe we need more homes built, plain and simple.
  • Median Home Prices: NAR forecasts continued modest growth, with prices rising 3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026. This isn't the double-digit appreciation we saw during the pandemic boom, but it's growth, indicating a healthy market, not a crashing one.
  • Mortgage Rates: This is the big one for NAR. Yun anticipates rates averaging around 6.4% in the second half of 2025, dipping further to 6.1% in 2026. If this holds true, it would be a huge sigh of relief for many first-time buyers I talk to.

Zillow's Cautious Outlook: A Gentle Drift Downward

Zillow, with its deep dive into home values and rental data, offers a slightly more subdued, almost lukewarm forecast. While they don't predict a crash, their outlook suggests a small downward adjustment in home values and a continued, but slow, recovery in inventory. I see Zillow's perspective as one that truly highlights the continued affordability challenges and the ongoing shifts within the market.

Key points from Zillow’s latest forecast:

  • Home Values: Zillow expects typical home values to drift down slightly, ending 2025 about 2% below where they started the year. This is a larger decline than their previous forecast, which tells me they’re seeing some continued market softening.
  • Inventory Recovery: This is a big theme for Zillow. They predict inventory will continue to grow significantly, potentially approaching pre-pandemic levels by the end of 2025. This is fueled by new listings outpacing sales. I’ve seen this personally in some areas; more homes on the market means more choices for buyers.
  • Existing Home Sales: They anticipate 4.16 million existing home sales by the end of 2025, a modest 2.5% improvement over the previous year. This suggests a very slow uptick in transaction volume.
  • Rent Growth: Zillow notes a softening in rent growth for both single-family and multifamily units. This is interesting because rising for-sale inventory gives more options, which takes pressure off rents. They project single-family rents to rise 2.75% in 2025 (down from 4.5% in 2024) and multifamily rents to increase by just 1.3% in 2025 (down from 2.4% in 2024). This tells me that people are finding more negotiating power on the rental front.

Realtor.com's Rebalancing Act: A Shift Towards Buyers

Realtor.com’s 2025 forecast focuses heavily on the idea of the market “rebalancing,” with market power shifting towards buyers. This aligns with what I'm seeing on the ground as well: an easing of the frantic competition that characterized the last few years. While their numbers might seem a bit conservative compared to NAR, I think their emphasis on the buyer's increasing leverage is spot on.

Here’s a detailed look at Realtor.com’s projections for 2025:

Key Housing Indicators (Realtor.com) 2025 Forecast REVISED 2024 Historical Data 2013-2019 Historical Average
Mortgage Rates (avg) 6.7% 6.7% 4.0%
Mortgage Rates (year-end) 6.4% 6.7% N/A
Existing Home Median Price App. (Y/Y) +2.5% +4.5% +6.5%
Existing Home Sales (Y/Y) -1.5% -0.6% +2.1%
Annual Total Existing Home Sales 4.00 million 4.06 million 5.28 million
Existing Home For-Sale Inventory (Y/Y) +16.9% +15.2% -3.6%
Single-Family Housing Starts (Y/Y) -3.7% +6.9% N/A
Single-Family Housing Starts (Annual) 0.98 million 1.0 million 0.8 million
Homeownership Rate 65.2% 65.6% 64.2%
Rent Growth -0.1% -0.2% +5.2%

Realtor.com highlights several key trends for 2025:

  • Home Sales Steady: They expect sales to land at 4 million in 2025, just slightly behind 2024. This suggests a continued slow pace, not a sudden drop.
  • Price Growth Softens: Home prices will still climb, but their report forecasts a softer growth of +2.5%. This is a noticeable slowdown from previous years, and what I see as a healthy correction in many areas.
  • Mortgage Rates Ease Slowly: While the annual average for mortgage rates is expected to match 2024 at 6.7%, they anticipate a dip to 6.4% by year-end. This slow, gradual dip is crucial. As Realtor.com points out, even a quarter-percentage point drop on a $350,000 loan can mean nearly $70 in monthly savings – that's real money for a family.
  • Rental Market Attractiveness: Renting continues to be an attractive option, with rent growth softening and easing for 23 straight months. This creates a fascinating dynamic where, in many markets, renting is significantly more affordable than buying a starter home. I’ve heard countless stories from potential buyers who are simply opting to rent longer to stay on budget.

Synthesizing the Data: What I See on the Ground

When I look at these forecasts together, a common thread emerges, despite some numerical differences: none of them predict a crash. What they do predict is something far more nuanced and, in my opinion, healthier: a market that is slowly but surely finding its balance.

Here’s my take:

  • No Crash, Just a Rebalancing: The consensus is clear: we won't see a collapse in home values like in 2008. Instead, what NAR calls “brighter days,” Zillow calls a “drift down,” and Realtor.com calls a “rebalancing” all point to a market where the frantic bidding wars are less common, and buyers have a bit more breathing room. From what I’m observing, this means offers with contingencies are more accepted, and sellers are more open to negotiation.
  • Mortgage Rates are the Linchpin: All three outlooks emphasize how critical mortgage rates are. NAR sees them as the “magic bullet,” while Zillow and Realtor.com anticipate a slow easing. I agree with Yun: if rates move sustainably lower, it will significantly boost sales. The psychological impact of rates, coupled with the actual financial burden, cannot be overstated. I've seen so many hopeful buyers on the sidelines, just waiting for that affordability threshold to be met by a lower rate.
  • Inventory is Key, but Regional Differences Persist: Zillow and Realtor.com both stress the continued recovery of inventory. More homes for sale means less competition and more buyer choice, which helps put downward pressure on prices or at least slows their growth. However, based on my local market observations, this inventory rebound isn't happening uniformly across the country. Markets in the Northeast and Midwest, for instance, still feel incredibly tight, making them consistently “hotter” than some areas in the South and West where supply has recovered more robustly. This is why it’s critical to remember that “the national market” is really a mosaic of hundreds of local markets. What applies in Dallas might not apply in Boston.
  • Affordability Remains a Challenge: Even with softening prices or slower growth, the underlying issue of affordability is still a huge hurdle for many. Realtor.com’s data showing renting still overwhelmingly cheaper than buying a starter home in almost every metro area (except Pittsburgh, interestingly!) speaks volumes. I worry about the long-term implications for younger generations and first-time buyers who are finding it harder and harder to break into homeownership. This isn't a market on the verge of collapse, but it is one that's struggling with access for a significant portion of the population.

Deep Dive into Key Market Influencers

Understanding the big picture means digging into the details that shape it. The housing market isn't a single switch; it's a complex machine with many moving parts.

Mortgage Rates: The “Magic Bullet” or Persistent Hurdle?

I truly believe mortgage rates are the most impactful factor in today's housing market. During the pandemic, ultralow rates fueled a frenzy. When rates shot up, the market effectively froze for many. The idea that rates could be a “magic bullet,” as NAR's Yun suggests, rings true because even small dips can create significant monthly savings. For example, Realtor.com illustrated that a quarter-percentage point drop can save roughly $70 a month on a $350,000 loan. That $830 a year might not sound like a fortune, but for a family on a tight budget, it can mean the difference between qualifying for a mortgage and staying on the sidelines.

The Federal Reserve plays a huge role here. Their policy decisions on interest rates, while not directly controlling mortgage rates, heavily influence them. Realtor.com notes that the Fed has kept its policy rate steady after dropping it in late 2024, providing some stability. My take is that while the economy's resilience helps, concerns about potential inflation (like from tariffs) and a growing national debt create a floor under how low mortgage rates can really go in the short term. We're looking at slow, gradual declines, not a sudden plummet to 3%.

Inventory: The Supply Shortage Saga

For years, I’ve been talking about the chronic undersupply of homes in the U.S. It’s a structural issue that has plagued our market for over a decade. Zillow and Realtor.com both predict continued inventory recovery, with listing activity outpacing sales. This increased supply is good news for buyers, as it means more options and less intense competition. We saw too many buyers chasing too few homes for too long, leading to stretched prices.

However, there's an interesting counter-trend highlighted by Realtor.com: “delistings.” These are homes taken off the market without a sale. Some sellers are choosing to wait rather than lower their prices to meet the current market reality. This is a fascinating human element – the emotional attachment to a home's perceived value. If this trend of delistings continues or accelerates, it could slow down the inventory recovery, dampening the buyer-friendly momentum we're starting to see. It's a reminder that market dynamics are also driven by individual choices.

Affordability: The Real Pain Point

This is where the rubber meets the road for most people. High prices combined with high interest rates have made homeownership feel out of reach for a significant portion of potential buyers. While price growth is expected to slow, affordability metrics remain stubbornly high.

Consider the data from Realtor.com:

  • In June 2025, Pittsburgh, PA, was the only metro where buying a starter home was more affordable than renting. That statistic alone speaks volumes about the challenge.
  • Rent growth is expected to stay muted or even decline slightly, making renting an increasingly attractive and budget-friendly option in the short term. This makes sense: if you can save $50 a month by renting compared to buying, and interest rates are still intimidating, why jump in?

This ongoing affordability crisis, for me, is the true challenge of the current housing market. It's not about a crash, but about access. If homeownership rates continue to slip, especially among younger households, it has profound long-term implications for financial well-being and wealth building.

The Job Market and Economy: A Resilient Foundation

One fundamental difference between today and 2008 is the strength of the job market. Both Zillow and Realtor.com acknowledge that a relatively plentiful job market and steady inflation have created a solid foundation for housing activity. The unemployment rate has remained low (even dipping to 4.1% in June data, according to Realtor.com), and inflation has largely stayed within the Fed's target range. This economic stability, while not exciting, is crucial. People need steady jobs and predictable costs to feel secure enough to consider a major purchase like a home. If people are employed, they can pay their mortgages. It’s a simple but powerful truth.

Policy Changes: Navigating the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”

Policy can absolutely influence the housing market, sometimes in unexpected ways. Realtor.com touched on the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” and its impact on the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction. This change, allowing homeowners in high-tax states to deduct up to $40,000 from their income (up from $10,000), is a welcome relief for some.

I've worked with clients who've been directly impacted by the previous SALT cap, so I know this will make a difference for them, easing some of the tax burden that adds to housing costs.

However, it's not a silver bullet for the entire housing market's challenges. As Realtor.com aptly notes, it doesn't address everything, like the outdated capital gains tax exclusion for housing. In my opinion, real legislative focus needs to be on incentivizing more home building, simplifying regulations, and addressing the core affordability crisis.

Industry Distractions: Maintaining Focus on Core Issues

The real estate industry has seen its share of internal shifts lately, from the NAR settlement discussions to ongoing debates about multiple listing options and clear cooperation rules. While these are important for the industry itself, Realtor.com points out that these “distractions” can pull focus away from the more fundamental goal: building more homes.

And I wholeheartedly agree. As an agent, navigating these changes is part of my job. But as someone looking at the market's health, I believe the industry and policymakers need to keep their eyes on the prize: increasing supply and making homeownership more attainable for everyone. Without that, we’re just rearranging the deck chairs while the underlying challenges persist.

Regional Differences: It's Not One Market

I cannot stress this enough: the housing market is not a monolithic entity. What you read in a national forecast is an average, and averages can hide vastly different local realities.

  • Hotter Markets: As Realtor.com highlights, areas in the Northeast and Midwest, where inventory recovery has lagged, continue to see homes sell quickly and remain “hotter.” If you're buying there, you might still face competition.
  • Cooler Markets: Conversely, some areas in the South and West that saw massive population booms and rapid new construction are now seeing larger inventory increases and more significant price adjustments. Zillow's prediction of a 2% national value decline is likely driven by these more rebalancing markets.

My advice? Don’t let a national headline dictate your local strategy. Work with a knowledgeable local agent who lives and breathes your specific market. They'll tell you what’s really happening on your block, not just across the country.

Final Thoughts:

So, will the housing market crash in 2025? Based on all the data, my personal experience, and how I read the tea leaves, the answer is a resounding no. What we're witnessing is a market undergoing a necessary and, frankly, healthy correction. The unsustainable boom years are behind us, and we're moving towards a more balanced, albeit still challenging, environment.

I acknowledge the lingering frustrations – high prices, high rates, and the feeling that the dream of homeownership is slipping away for some. But I also see a glimmer of hope: more inventory, stabilizing prices, and the very slow, almost imperceptible softening of mortgage rates. These small shifts add up.

For potential buyers, it means that while the market won't suddenly become easy, opportunities are slowly emerging. For sellers, it means being realistic and strategic in a market that demands a little more thought and effort.

Ultimately, the housing market in 2025 will be defined by its resilience and adaptation. It’s not about a dramatic crash, but about a gradual calibration. And in my view, that's a far better outcome for everyone involved. I remain optimistic about the long-term health of housing in America, even as we navigate these choppy but manageable waters.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

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Contact Norada today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

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Also Read:

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  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
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  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Real Estate Forecast Next 5 Years: Top 5 Predictions for Future
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
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  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction
  • New Tariffs Could Trigger Housing Market Slowdown in 2025
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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, housing market crash, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, Real Estate Market

Housing Market Rebounds: Home Sales Tick Up in July 2025

August 22, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Market Rebounds: Home Sales Tick Up in July 2025

The housing market bounces back, with home sales ticking up in July 2025, offering a much-needed breath of fresh air for buyers and sellers alike. This positive trend, detailed in the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) Existing-Home Sales Report, indicates a market that’s slowly but surely finding its footing. After a period of adjustment, it seems the market is signaling a return to more favorable conditions.

As a long-time observer of the real estate world, I’ve seen my share of market shifts, and this July report feels significant. It’s not a runaway boom, but a steady, encouraging climb. For those of you who’ve been waiting on the sidelines, feeling a bit discouraged by past conditions, this data offers a reason to pay attention. It suggests that the hesitations of the recent past are beginning to recede, and more people are feeling confident enough to make that big move.

Housing Market Bounces Back: Home Sales Tick Up in July 2025

What the Numbers Tell Us: A Closer Look at July 2025

The NAR report paints a picture of modest but meaningful growth. Let’s break down what those figures really mean for the average person trying to navigate the housing market.

  • A 2.0% Increase in Sales: This month-over-month jump to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.01 million existing-home sales is a solid indicator of renewed activity. It means more homes are changing hands, which generally leads to a more dynamic market.
  • Inventory Grows, Giving Buyers More Choices: We saw a 0.6% increase in unsold inventory, reaching 1.55 million units. This translates to a 4.6-month supply. For buyers, this is fantastic news. More homes on the market means less frantic competition and a better chance of finding the perfect place without feeling rushed. Think of it like walking into a store with a wider selection – you're more likely to find what you're looking for.
  • Prices Stabilize with Modest Growth: The median existing-home price saw a 0.2% increase year-over-year to $422,400. This is important. While we’re not seeing massive price jumps that scare buyers away, we’re also not seeing prices plummet. This stability is a healthy sign, especially when you consider it alongside wage growth.

Why This Uptick Matters: Beyond the Statistics

It’s easy to get lost in the numbers, but what’s really driving this change? I believe it’s a confluence of factors, most notably the subtle improvements in housing affordability.

According to NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, “Wage growth is now comfortably outpacing home price growth, and buyers have more choices.” This is the crucial piece of the puzzle. When your paycheck stretches a little further relative to home prices, and you have a better selection of homes to choose from, the entire process becomes less daunting. It’s about regaining that sense of possibility.

Yun also highlighted something I find particularly reassuring: “Homebuyers are in the best position in more than five years to find the right home and negotiate for a better price.” This shift in buyer leverage is a significant development. It means that the frantic bidding wars and waived contingencies that characterized some recent periods are becoming less common. Buyers can take a breath, do their due diligence, and make more informed decisions.

Regional Variations: A Mixed Bag, But Mostly Bright

It’s always important to remember that the national picture is made up of many local stories. Here’s a quick look at how different regions performed:

Region Month-over-Month Sales Change Year-over-Year Sales Change Median Price Change (YoY)
Northeast +8.7% +2.0% +0.8%
Midwest -1.1% +1.1% +3.9%
South +2.2% +2.2% -0.6%
West +1.4% -4.0% -1.4%

As you can see, not every region experienced the same level of growth. The South and Northeast saw solid gains, both month-over-month and year-over-year. The Midwest also showed year-over-year improvement despite a slight dip month-over-month. The West experienced a year-over-year decline in sales, though it did see an increase month-over-month.

I’m particularly interested in the South. Yun mentioned that “Condominium sales increased in the South region, where prices had been falling for the past year.” This suggests that some markets are correcting themselves, creating opportunities. Meanwhile, the West’s slight dip might be due to higher price points in some areas making affordability a bigger hurdle.

Key Trends Shaping the Market

Beyond the headline sales figures, several other trends are worth noting:

  • Time on Market: Homes are staying on the market a bit longer, averaging 28 days. This is up from 27 days last month and 24 days in July 2024. This isn’t necessarily a bad thing; it allows for more thorough inspections and smoother transactions.
  • First-Time Homebuyers: The percentage of sales to first-time homebuyers dipped slightly to 28%. While this number is down from previous months, it's still a significant portion of the market. The goal is to see this number climb as affordability improves further.
  • Cash Sales and Investors: We’re seeing an increase in cash sales (31%) and transactions by individual investors or second-home buyers (20%). This often indicates confidence in the market, but it also means more competition for traditional buyers who rely on mortgages.
  • Distressed Sales Remain Low: A crucial positive is the continued low rate of distressed sales (foreclosures and short sales) at just 2%. This is a testament to the overall financial health of homeowners and a stark contrast to markets in distress. The fact that only 2% of sales were foreclosures or short sales is a sign of a remarkably healthy market.

What This Means for You

If you're a buyer, this July report is encouraging. The increased inventory and stabilizing prices mean you have a better chance of finding a home that fits your needs and budget. The longer time on market also gives you more room to negotiate.

For sellers, while bidding wars might be less common, a well-priced and well-presented home will still attract serious buyers. The overall increase in sales suggests demand is present.

Looking Ahead

The housing market bounces back with these July numbers, offering a hopeful glimpse into the future. While challenges remain, particularly for those in pricier markets, the underlying trends – wage growth outpacing home prices and increasing inventory – are strong positives. It’s a market that’s maturing, becoming more balanced, and, dare I say, more accessible for many. I’ll be watching closely to see if this momentum continues into the fall.

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact Norada today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Housing Market, Housing Market Trends, Housing Prices

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

August 8, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

Are you dreaming of owning a home? You're probably wondering what the future holds. So, let's cut to the chase: The housing market in 2026 is expected to be more balanced than it has been in recent years, with moderate price growth, stabilizing interest rates, and increased sales activity. While it won't be a complete walk in the park, there's a good chance it'll be a bit easier for buyers than it has been. Let’s dive deeper into what you can expect.

Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?

Home Prices: Are We Finally Seeing Some Relief?

Remember those crazy bidding wars and prices going through the roof? Well, experts think things will cool down a bit.

  • The National Association of Realtors (NAR) thinks the median home price will hit $420,000 in 2026, which is about a 2% jump from 2025.
  • Fannie Mae surveyed over 100 housing experts, and they're predicting home price growth will slow to 3.6% in 2026, which is less than the 5.2% we saw in 2024.
  • Zillow economists are projecting that U.S. home prices, as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index, will fall -1.7% between March 2025 and March 2026.
  • The U.S. News Housing Market Index thinks prices will go up a total of 17% from 2024 to 2029, which means prices will go up slowly each year starting in 2026.

This means that the big price jumps we saw a few years ago are probably over. Prices will still go up, but not as fast. That's good news for buyers, but remember that in some areas with lots of demand, houses will still be expensive.

Mortgage Rates: Will They Ever Go Down?

Mortgage rates are a big deal. They decide how much it costs to borrow money to buy a house. In 2025, rates have been pretty high, around 6-7%. Let's see what the experts think will happen in 2026:

  • NAR says mortgage rates will stay around 6% through 2026.
  • Fannie Mae thinks rates will be around 6% by the end of 2026.
  • J.P. Morgan is a bit more cautious, predicting rates will only drop to 6.7% by the end of 2025.

The important thing to remember is that mortgage rates depend on things like inflation and what the Federal Reserve does. If inflation goes down, rates could go down too. But, as Bankrate points out, anything can happen with the economy and government policies, so rates could change quickly.

Home Sales: Will More People Be Buying and Selling?

High mortgage rates have made it harder for people to buy houses, so sales have been down. But, experts think things will pick up in 2026:

  • NAR‘s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, thinks sales of existing homes will go up 13% in 2026.
  • Sales of new homes are predicted to go up 8% in 2026.
  • Bankrate says sales of existing homes could go up 10-15% in 2026.

This increase in sales will happen because mortgage rates will become more stable, there will be more houses available, and the economy will hopefully be doing well. All of these things will encourage people to buy homes.

Are There Enough Houses to Buy? The Supply and Demand Puzzle

For a while now, there haven't been enough houses for sale. This has made prices go up and made it hard for buyers. Let's see if this will change in 2026:

  • The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) says builders will start building more single-family homes, about 1.05 million in 2026.
  • But, fewer apartment buildings will be built. This could make it harder to find a place to rent and could push rent prices up.
  • The U.S. News Housing Market Index estimates that there are still not enough houses, about 4.5 million short. They think this problem will slowly get better between 2025 and 2030.

So, more houses are being built, but it will take time to catch up with the demand. More houses for sale will help balance the market and make it easier to find a home.

What Else Could Affect the Housing Market?

Lots of things outside of just prices and rates can have a big impact:

  • The Economy: If the economy is doing well and people have jobs, more people will be able to buy houses.
  • Government Policies: New laws about housing and taxes can change the market.
  • Climate Change: The cost of insurance and building materials is going up because of climate change. This will make it more expensive to own a home, especially in areas that are prone to floods or fires.
  • Where People Want to Live: More people are moving to cities, which will make it harder to find housing in those areas. Also, as older people downsize, more homes could become available in some markets.

Where You Live Matters: Regional Differences

The housing market is different depending on where you are. Some areas will do better than others:

  • Areas with lots of jobs, growing populations, and not enough houses, like parts of the Midwest, might see prices go up more.
  • Expensive cities on the coasts might not grow as fast because they are already so expensive.
  • Bankrate says some areas in the South, like Texas and Florida, might not do as well because there are too many houses for sale and climate change is making it more expensive to live there.

If you're thinking of buying or selling, it's important to look at what's happening in your local market.

Opportunities for Investors

For investors, 2026 could bring some interesting chances. Some people who have adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) might see their rates go up, which could create opportunities for investors to buy properties. Also, managing properties efficiently is becoming more important as costs go up, so investors who use technology and smart management strategies could do well.

My Final Thoughts

Overall, the housing market in 2026 looks like it will be more stable than it has been in the past few years. Prices will probably go up slowly, mortgage rates will hopefully stay around 6%, and there will be more houses for sale.

If you're a buyer, 2026 could be a good year to start looking, as there will be more choices and less competition. If you're a seller, you might not get as much money as you would have a few years ago, but there will still be buyers out there.

Remember, things can change, and it's always a good idea to talk to a real estate professional in your area before making any big decisions. Good luck with your home-buying or selling journey!

Invest in Real Estate in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact Norada today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, Housing Market, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, real estate, Real Estate Market

Top 22 Housing Markets Where Prices Are Predicted to Rise the Most by 2026

June 4, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

22 Housing Markets Expected to Highest Price Gains by Early 2026

The housing market rollercoaster continues, and if you're trying to figure out where things are headed, you're not alone. It feels like just yesterday everyone was talking about prices skyrocketing everywhere, and now? Not so much, at least on a national level.

But here's the thing: real estate is local. Always has been, always will be. While the big picture forecast might show a dip, some specific spots are expected to keep climbing. According to the latest analysis from Zillow Research, released in April 2025, there are indeed 22 housing markets where home prices will rise the most over the next 12 months, defying the broader trend they predict for the rest of the country.

So, what's the big picture, according to Zillow? Their updated forecast is predicting a national drop in home values of 1.9% through 2025. That's a pretty significant shift from their earlier expectation of a small increase. They point to more homes hitting the market and mortgage rates staying elevated as the main reasons sellers are having to cut prices to attract buyers.

On the flip side, they do expect existing home sales to tick up slightly, forecasting about 4.2 million sales in 2025, a modest 3.3% bump from the year before. Essentially, they see buyers getting a bit more power and time to shop around, while sellers are adjusting expectations. Rental markets?

They see rents still rising, but at a slower pace, especially for apartments, with demand for single-family rentals holding steady as some folks wait on the sidelines for the buying market to cool off or rates to drop.

But let's get back to those specific places expected to see prices go up. This is where it gets interesting because it highlights the power of local market dynamics even when national headwinds are blowing. As someone who's spent years watching real estate trends, I know that national averages can sometimes hide fascinating stories happening in individual towns and cities.

Understanding the Forecast in Context

Before we dive into the list, let's be super clear: these are forecasts. They're based on complex models that take into account a ton of data – things like current prices, sales trends, inventory levels, rental data, economic indicators, and even search activity on Zillow's own platform. Zillow themselves mention that mortgage rates are in an “especially unpredictable period,” and unforeseen events could always change things. So, treat this list not as a crystal ball, but as a snapshot of where Zillow's models predict the strongest price growth based on the data available in April 2025.

What makes a market potentially buck the national trend of price depreciation? Based on my experience, it often comes down to a few key factors:

  1. Relative Affordability: Even if national prices are high, some smaller or less-discovered markets might still offer value, attracting buyers looking for more bang for their buck.
  2. Limited Supply: If a market simply isn't building many new homes, or has geographical constraints (like being surrounded by mountains or water), limited inventory can keep upward pressure on prices even if demand cools slightly.
  3. Specific Demand Drivers: Is there a major employer expanding? A new amenity like a park or transportation hub? Is it a desirable retirement spot, a recreational haven, or an area seeing an influx of remote workers? Local job growth and population shifts are huge drivers.
  4. Unique Market Characteristics: Some markets just have their own rhythm. Maybe it's a popular vacation spot, a college town with stable demand, or an area benefiting from specific state-level initiatives.

Looking at Zillow's national forecast of a price drop, finding markets predicted to gain value is like finding little islands of appreciation in a sea of slight decline. It tells me these specific areas likely have some combination of the factors above working strongly in their favor, strong enough to counteract the pressure from higher rates and increased national inventory levels.

22 Housing Markets Where Prices Are Predicted to Rise the Most by 2026

Now, let's get to the list everyone wants to see. The data provided ranks markets by their projected price change from March 31, 2025, to March 31, 2026. As requested, I'm grouping markets that have the same forecast percentage and including all markets from Steamboat Springs, CO down to Price, UT in the provided data. This gives us the top ranks, which includes 22 specific markets in total.

Here's the breakdown based on Zillow's April 2025 forecast:

Rank 1

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 3.8%
  • Market: Steamboat Springs, CO

My take: No huge surprise to see a high-end recreational market like Steamboat Springs at the top. Places like this often have limited supply due to geography and strong demand from both second-home buyers and those able to work remotely. Even if the broader market softens, desirability for unique lifestyle locations remains high for a segment of the population.

Rank 2

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 3.0%
  • Market: Maysville, KY

My take: Maysville is an interesting contrast to Steamboat Springs. Often, we see more affordable or smaller regional centers show up on lists like this when larger, more expensive markets cool off. Could this be related to value relative to nearby larger metros, or perhaps specific local economic factors? It highlights that appreciation isn't just confined to famous hotspots.

Rank 3

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.7%
  • Market: Edwards, CO

My take: Another Colorado mountain town ranking high. Edwards is near Vail and Beaver Creek. This reinforces the idea that desirable recreational areas with limited buildable land can often maintain or increase value even in tougher markets, driven by affluent buyers or those prioritizing lifestyle.

Rank 4

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.5%
  • Market: Augusta, ME

My take: As the capital of Maine, Augusta has a stable base of government employment. Maine's popularity as a destination, both for tourists and those seeking a different pace of life (especially after the remote work shift), might be playing a role here. It's another example of a smaller regional center showing predicted resilience.

Rank 5

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.4%
  • Markets:
    • Atlantic City, NJ
    • Alamogordo, NM
    • Berlin, NH

My take: This group is fascinating because they are so different. Atlantic City has the draw of gambling and the shore, but has faced economic challenges. Alamogordo has a military base nearby (Holloman Air Force Base), which provides economic stability. Berlin, NH is a smaller town in northern New Hampshire, an area known for its natural beauty and outdoor recreation. This diversity at the same predicted growth rate tells me different factors are likely driving the forecasts in each location – tourism/recreation in AC and Berlin, and stable employment in Alamogordo.

Rank 6

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.3%
  • Markets:
    • West Plains, MO
    • Jackson, WY

My take: Another pairing of very different markets. Jackson, WY is a world-famous high-end destination similar to Steamboat Springs and Edwards, driven by its proximity to Grand Teton and Yellowstone National Parks and its status as a playground for the wealthy. West Plains, MO, on the other hand, is a regional hub in the Ozarks, likely appealing due to affordability and a slower pace of life. This stark contrast highlights that predicted growth isn't limited to one type of market; it's about specific local supply/demand balances and economic drivers.

Rank 7

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.2%
  • Markets:
    • Mayfield, KY
    • Thomaston, GA

My take: Two more smaller regional markets. Mayfield was notably impacted by a devastating tornado in late 2021; perhaps this forecast reflects ongoing rebuilding or shifting local dynamics post-disaster. Thomaston is south of the Atlanta metro area, potentially benefiting from folks looking further out for affordability or space, though the forecast shows a slight dip in the immediate few months.

Rank 8

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 2.0%
  • Market: Dodge City, KS

My take: Famous for its Old West history, Dodge City is a regional center in southwest Kansas. Its economy is tied to agriculture and manufacturing. A forecast of 2.0% appreciation here suggests local economic stability is likely underpinning the housing market's resilience compared to national trends.

Rank 9

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 1.9%
  • Markets:
    • Kingston, NY
    • Statesboro, GA
    • Keene, NH
    • Cedartown, GA
    • Clewiston, FL
    • Butte, MT

My take: This is the largest group by far, showing a cluster of markets all predicted to see modest appreciation around 1.9%. We see a mix here: Kingston, NY (Hudson Valley, potentially benefiting from proximity to NYC); Statesboro and Cedartown, GA (smaller Georgia cities); Keene, NH (southwest NH); Clewiston, FL (inland Florida, near Lake Okeechobee); and Butte, MT (historic mining town, now a regional center). The common thread here might be relative affordability compared to nearby larger areas or specific local economic anchors keeping demand steady.

Rank 10

  • Projected Price Increase (March 2025 – March 2026): 1.8%
  • Markets:
    • Rochester, NY
    • Laconia, NH
    • Brevard, NC
    • Price, UT

My take: This final group also shows diversity. Rochester, NY is a larger metro area than most on this list. Laconia, NH is in the Lakes Region. Brevard, NC is in the mountains near Asheville, another area popular for recreation and lifestyle. Price, UT is in a more rural part of central Utah. The presence of Rochester suggests that even some larger, more established metros might find stability and slight growth, perhaps driven by specific neighborhoods, educational institutions, or industries within the city. The others again lean towards smaller, potentially more affordable, or recreation-adjacent areas.

Here's a table summarizing these markets by their predicted appreciation rate:

Rank Predicted Price Increase (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026) Market(s)
1 3.8% Steamboat Springs, CO
2 3.0% Maysville, KY
3 2.7% Edwards, CO
4 2.5% Augusta, ME
5 2.4% Atlantic City, NJ; Alamogordo, NM; Berlin, NH
6 2.3% West Plains, MO; Jackson, WY
7 2.2% Mayfield, KY; Thomaston, GA
8 2.0% Dodge City, KS
9 1.9% Kingston, NY; Statesboro, GA; Keene, NH; Cedartown, GA; Clewiston, FL; Butte, MT
10 1.8% Rochester, NY; Laconia, NH; Brevard, NC; Price, UT

Data Source: Zillow Home Value and Home Sales Forecast, April 2025

What Can We Learn from This List?

Looking at this list, a few things jump out at me:

  • It's Not Just One Type of Market: We see a mix of high-end recreational areas (Steamboat, Edwards, Jackson), smaller regional centers (Maysville, Augusta, West Plains, Dodge City, Statesboro, Cedartown, Keene, Berlin, Butte, Price), and some unique cases like Atlantic City or markets potentially benefiting from spillover affordability (Thomaston, Kingston).
  • Affordability Matters: Many of these markets, outside of the high-end Colorado and Wyoming examples, are relatively more affordable than major coastal metros or Sunbelt boomtowns that saw massive price increases earlier in the cycle. Could this predicted growth be a function of delayed affordability corrections or continued demand for value? I think that's definitely a factor.
  • Local Anchors are Key: Stable employment sources (military bases, government jobs), recreational appeal, or simply being a necessary regional hub seem to be providing enough underlying demand to support price increases even when national conditions are softer.
  • Modest Growth is Still Growth: While 3.8% or even 1.8% might seem small compared to the double-digit appreciation we saw in 2020-2022, in a period where the national forecast is negative, any positive growth is notable. It suggests these markets have strong fundamentals relative to the current economic and interest rate environment.

My Thoughts on Navigating the Market

Based on this data and my understanding of market cycles, here's my perspective:

First, remember that a forecast is just a forecast. It's a model's best guess based on current information. Things can change. Mortgage rates could drop faster (or slower) than expected. The economy could surprise us. Local factors in any of these markets could shift.

Second, if you're looking to buy or invest, particularly in one of these markets, this data is a piece of the puzzle, not the whole picture. You still need to do your homework on the ground. What are inventory levels really like right now in that specific town or neighborhood? What are the local job prospects? What's the condition of the homes? How do the prices compare to historical averages for that specific market, not just the national trend?

Third, this reinforces the power of diversification if you're thinking about real estate investment. While national trends matter, having exposure to different types of markets – some larger, some smaller, some driven by different economic factors – can help buffer against downturns in any single area.

Finally, for most people, buying a home is about more than just appreciation potential. It's about finding a place to live, raise a family, or build a life. While potential price growth is a nice bonus, focusing too much on short-term forecasts (even ones looking out a year like this) might distract from finding the right home for your needs and budget in a community you actually want to live in. The predicted growth rates here, while positive, are relatively modest. This isn't a signal of a new boom, but rather resilience.

In conclusion, while Zillow's April 2025 forecast paints a picture of slight price declines nationally, these 22 markets (grouped into 10 ranks) from Steamboat Springs, CO, down to Price, UT, are predicted by their models to see home prices continue to climb, albeit modestly, by early 2026.

They represent a fascinating mix of recreational hotspots and smaller regional centers, each likely driven by unique local factors strong enough to counteract the national headwinds of higher rates and increased supply. It's a strong reminder that even in a complex and uncertain housing market, opportunities for appreciation exist, but they're highly localized and require careful, specific research.

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Also Read:

  • Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Housing Prices Are Set to Rise by 4.1% by the End of 2025
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, Housing Market, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, real estate, Real Estate Market

Average Housing Prices by Year in the United States

June 1, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Average Housing Prices by Year in the United States

If you are interested in the history of the US housing market, you might want to know how the average and median prices of houses have changed over time. In this blog post, we will use data from various sources to show you the trends and patterns of house prices in the US from 1953 to 2023.

Defining Terms

The average price of houses sold is the total value of all houses sold divided by the number of houses sold in a given period. The median price of houses sold is the middle point of the distribution of house prices, such that half of the houses are sold for more and half for less than that price. The average price can be influenced by outliers, such as very expensive or very cheap houses, while the median price is more representative of the typical house price.

Average Housing Prices by Year

According to data from FRED, a database maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, the average price of houses sold in the US in the second quarter of 2023 was $495,100, down from $505,300 in the first quarter and $552,600 in the fourth quarter of 2022. The average price peaked at $552,600 in the fourth quarter of 2022, which was the highest level since the series began in 1963. The lowest average price was $17,200 in the first quarter of 1963.

Median Housing Prices by Year

The median price of houses sold in the US in the second quarter of 2023 was $390,500, down from $399,900 in the first quarter and $417,800 in the fourth quarter of 2022. The median price also peaked at $417,800 in the fourth quarter of 2022, which was also the highest level since the series began in 1963. The lowest median price was $17,500 in the first quarter of 1963.

Historical Trends

The chart below shows the historical trends of both the average and median prices of houses sold in the US from 1963 to 2023.

Average Housing Prices by Year in the United States
Source: FRED

As you can see, both prices have increased significantly over time, but with some fluctuations along the way. The most notable periods of rapid growth were from 1975 to 1980, from 1997 to 2006, and from 2012 to 2022. The most notable periods of decline were from 1980 to 1982, from 2006 to 2012, and from 2022 to 2023.

Factors Affecting Housing Prices

  • Supply and demand: When there are more buyers than sellers, or more demand than supply, house prices tend to rise. When there are more sellers than buyers, or more supply than demand, house prices tend to fall.
  • Income and population growth: When people have more income or when there are more people looking for housing, house prices tend to rise. When people have less income or when there are fewer people looking for housing, house prices tend to fall.
  • Inflation and interest rates: When inflation is high or when interest rates are high, house prices tend to fall. When inflation is low or when interest rates are low, house prices tend to rise.
  • Consumer confidence and expectations: When people are optimistic about the economy or when they expect house prices to rise in the future, they are more likely to buy houses. When people are pessimistic about the economy or when they expect house prices to fall in the future, they are less likely to buy houses.
  • Government policies and regulations: When the government provides subsidies or incentives for home buyers or home builders, house prices tend to rise. When the government imposes taxes or restrictions on home buyers or home builders, house prices tend to fall.
  • Regional variations: House prices can vary widely across different regions or markets depending on local factors such as climate, geography, amenities, infrastructure, culture, and preferences.

Historical Median Prices of Existing Homes

If we go back further in time, we can find data on the median price of existing homes (not new homes) from another source: DQYDJ, a website that provides financial calculators and tools. According to DQYDJ, the median price of existing homes in the US in September 2021 was $363,300 (in nominal terms) or $363,300 (in inflation-adjusted terms). The data goes back to January 1953, when the median price was $18,080 (in nominal terms) or $207,781 (in inflation-adjusted terms).

Historical Trends of Median Prices of Existing Homes

The chart below shows the historical trends of both the nominal and inflation-adjusted median prices of existing homes in the US from 1953 to 2021.

Trends of Median Home Prices by Year
Credits: DQYDJ

As you can see, both prices have also increased significantly over time, but with some differences from the new home prices. The nominal price has increased by almost 20 times since 1953, while the inflation-adjusted price has increased by about 1.7 times. The inflation-adjusted price shows that real home values have not increased as much as nominal home values over time. The nominal price also shows more volatility than the inflation-adjusted price, especially during periods of high inflation or deflation.

To summarize, this blog post has shown you how the average and median prices of houses sold and existing homes have changed over time in the US from 1953 to 2023. You have seen that both prices have increased significantly over time but with some fluctuations and differences along the way. You have also learned some of the main factors that influence house prices in the US. We hope you have found this information useful and interesting. Thank you for reading!

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate, Real Estate Market Tagged With: Average Housing Prices, Average Housing Prices by Year, Housing Prices

Future of Housing Market After Redfin’s Acquisition by Rocket Mortgage

May 20, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Future of Housing Market After Redfin's Acquisition by Rocket Mortgage

If you're even remotely interested in buying or selling a home in the US, you'll want to pull up a chair for this one. The news is out: Rocket Mortgage acquires Redfin, and what this means for the US housing market is a significant move towards a more streamlined, tech-driven, and potentially more consolidated homebuying future.

Future of Housing Market After Redfin's Acquisition by Rocket Mortgage

This isn't just another business deal; it's a pairing that could fundamentally change how many of us find, finance, and close on our homes. Rocket Companies, the behemoth behind Rocket Mortgage (the nation's largest mortgage lender), has announced it's buying Redfin, a major digital real estate brokerage, for a cool $1.75 billion in an all-stock deal.

Imagine your favorite online home search tool suddenly joining forces with a mortgage giant – that's the scale we're talking about. This deal, expected to be finalized around the second or third quarter of 2025, aims to create a one-stop shop for homebuyers. Think about it: searching for listings on Redfin, connecting with a Redfin agent, and getting your mortgage through Rocket, all under one big, tech-savvy roof. Sounds convenient, right? But like any big change, it brings a mix of exciting possibilities and some real questions we need to unpack.

The Nitty-Gritty: What’s in the Deal?

Let’s break down what this “all-stock acquisition” actually means. Instead of Rocket paying cash, Redfin shareholders will get shares of Rocket Companies' stock. Specifically, they'll receive 0.7926 shares of Rocket Companies’ Class A common stock for each Redfin share they own. This values Redfin shares at $12.50 each, which was a hefty 63% more than what they were trading for, on average, in the month before the announcement.

When all is said and done, Rocket shareholders will own about 95% of the new, combined company, with Redfin shareholders holding the remaining 5%. Good news for Redfin fans: Glenn Kelman, Redfin’s CEO, will continue to lead Redfin’s operations, reporting to Rocket Companies CEO Varun Krishna. So, the Redfin you know might not disappear, but it will definitely be part of a much bigger machine.

Interestingly, this isn't Rocket's only big move. They also announced a $9.4 billion acquisition of mortgage servicer Mr. Cooper around the same time (March 2025). It's clear Rocket is on a mission to build an all-encompassing homeownership platform. They're not just dipping their toes in; they're diving headfirst into controlling as much of the homebuying journey as possible.

Why This Power Couple? The Strategy Behind the Scenes

So, why would Rocket, a mortgage giant, want to buy a real estate brokerage like Redfin? It’s all about creating a smoother, more integrated experience for you, the homebuyer, and, of course, capturing a bigger slice of the market pie.

Here’s what I see as the main drivers:

  • A Direct Line to Homebuyers: Redfin is a hugely popular platform, attracting nearly 50 million visitors every month and showcasing over 1 million active listings. For Rocket, that's like having a welcome mat laid out for millions of potential mortgage customers. They're hoping to boost their purchase mortgage business – that’s mortgages for buying homes, not just refinancing. In 2024, their market share in this area already grew by 8% year-over-year, and Redfin is key to pushing that even higher.
  • Saving Money and Making More: Rocket expects this deal to create $200 million in “run-rate synergies” by 2027. In plain English, that means they anticipate saving $140 million by getting rid of overlapping operations and making an extra $60 million by selling Rocket mortgages to Redfin users and vice-versa.
  • Data is the New Gold: Both companies are tech-focused. Together, they’ll have a mind-boggling 14 petabytes of data – that's a huge amount of information. Redfin brings 4 petabytes of property data, and Rocket has its vast mortgage expertise. The plan? To use Artificial Intelligence (AI) to offer you super-personalized homebuying experiences. As Rocket CEO Varun Krishna put it, “Redfin is a data powerhouse in an AI-driven world, and this wealth of information will strengthen Rocket’s AI models.”
  • Becoming the Top Dog: This move clearly positions Rocket to be a dominant force in both real estate brokerage and mortgage lending. They're not just competing anymore; they're aiming to set the pace, potentially giving other big players like Zillow a run for their money.

From my perspective, this is a smart, albeit aggressive, move by Rocket. In a world where convenience is king, integrating the search and financing aspects of homebuying makes a lot of sense. They’re betting that by making the process easier, they can attract more customers and keep them within their ecosystem.

What's In It For You, the Homebuyer? Roses and Thorns

This is where the rubber meets the road for most of us. What will this Rocket-Redfin marriage mean when you decide to buy a home?

The Potential Upsides (The Roses):

  • A Smoother Ride: Imagine searching for homes on Redfin, finding one you love, clicking a button to connect with a Redfin agent (there are over 2,200 of them, by the way, ranked in the top 1% nationwide!), and then seamlessly applying for a Rocket Mortgage, all within one platform. This could cut down on the headaches and paperwork that often come with buying a home.
  • Possible Cost Savings: This is a big one. Rocket executives have even suggested that this integration could cut transaction costs by up to $20,000! In a market with high home prices and stubborn interest rates, any savings are a big deal. I'm keen to see how this plays out in reality, as $20,000 is a significant claim.
  • Tailor-Made for You: With all that data and AI, you might get more personalized property recommendations and mortgage options that truly fit your needs and financial situation. No more sifting through endless generic listings!

The Potential Downsides (The Thorns):

  • Are You Being Steered? The Consumer Federation of America has raised a valid concern: could homebuyers be subtly (or not so subtly) pushed towards Rocket’s mortgage products, even if there are better or more affordable options elsewhere? For instance, will it be as easy to find information on FHA loans with downpayment assistance if they aren't Rocket's prime offerings? This is something to watch.
  • Less Choice, Higher Prices? When big companies merge, there's always a risk that it reduces competition. If there are fewer major players, will that eventually lead to higher fees or less favorable terms for consumers? It's a classic economic concern.
  • Data Privacy and Transparency: With so much of your personal and financial information in one place, you'll want strong assurances that your data is being used responsibly and that all pricing is crystal clear.

I believe the promise of a streamlined process is genuinely appealing. Nobody enjoys juggling multiple contacts and platforms. However, consumers will need to stay savvy and remember to compare options, even if one platform seems to offer it all.

A New Chapter for Real Estate Agents

What about the folks on the front lines – the real estate agents? Redfin’s 2,200+ agents will continue to operate under the Redfin brand. The plan is to integrate them more closely with Rocket’s mortgage services.

This could be a double-edged sword:

  • For Redfin Agents: They might get easier access to a wider range of Rocket's lending products and potentially more competitive rates for their clients. This could make it easier for them to close deals.
  • For Independent Agents: They might face tougher competition. It's hard to compete with a giant that offers an all-in-one package. However, many experts, like those at JVM Lending, believe that personal relationships, local expertise, and specialized skills will still allow smaller, independent firms to thrive. I tend to agree; real estate is still a very personal business.

The Big Picture: How This Could Reshape the US Housing Market

This acquisition isn't happening in a vacuum. It's sending ripples across the entire US housing market.

  • Competition Heats Up (or Cools Down?): Rocket Mortgage could grab an even bigger share of the mortgage market by tapping into Redfin’s massive user base. This will undoubtedly pressure other lenders and real estate tech companies. Will Zillow, for example, feel the heat and respond with its own big moves? It's very likely. We might see more innovation, but also…
  • More Mergers on the Horizon: This deal is part of a larger trend. The housing market has been tough since 2022, with high interest rates and fewer homes being sold. In times like these, companies often look to merge to become stronger and more efficient. We could see fewer, bigger players dominating the field. While consolidation can lead to efficiencies, it can also, as mentioned, reduce consumer choice if not carefully monitored.
  • Tech Takes Center Stage: The focus on AI and data analytics by Rocket and Redfin could set a new industry standard. Expect to see more technology aimed at predicting market trends, targeting customers more effectively, and making the whole process more automated. Other companies will have to keep up or risk being left behind.
  • What About Affordability? This is the elephant in the room. While streamlining the process and potentially cutting some transaction costs is great, this deal doesn't directly solve the huge challenge of housing affordability. Homes are expensive, and interest rates are still a hurdle for many. Any relief on transaction costs would be welcome, but it’s not a silver bullet for the bigger affordability crisis.
  • Regulators Will Be Watching: You can bet that government regulators will be taking a close look at this deal. Given the size of Rocket (especially after also scooping up Mr. Cooper) and Redfin, they'll want to make sure this merger doesn't unfairly crush competition or harm consumers. The fact that it's an all-stock deal and Redfin shareholders only get 5% of the combined company might ease some concerns, but scrutiny is almost guaranteed.

My Two Cents: Reading Between the Lines

From where I sit, this acquisition is a bold statement about the future of real estate. Rocket isn't just trying to be a big lender; it's aiming to be the central hub for homeownership. As Christopher Whalen of Whalen Global Advisors noted, a key goal is “originating and retaining residential mortgages in portfolio,” meaning Rocket wants to control more of the entire mortgage lifecycle, from the first click on a listing to the final mortgage payment.

I also agree with the sentiment that smaller, agile firms can still compete. Technology is a great equalizer, but the human element in real estate – trust, local knowledge, negotiation skills – is hard to replicate with an algorithm alone. If I were a local realtor or mortgage broker, I’d be focusing on delivering exceptional, personalized service that a mega-corporation might struggle to match consistently.

The potential for $200 million in synergies sounds impressive, but achieving these savings and revenue gains isn't a walk in the park. Integrating two large companies, each with its own culture and systems, is a massive undertaking. There are always “integration risks,” as Investing.com rightly pointed out.

The timing is also crucial. This is all happening against the backdrop of a “challenging housing market.” Redfin, for instance, reported a $164.8 million net loss in 2024 and had to go through layoffs. This made them a more attractive, and perhaps more affordable, acquisition target for a company like Rocket, which, while its own market cap has seen ups and downs, still has a strong brand and deep pockets.

Here's a quick summary of the deal's key aspects:

Aspect Details
Transaction Value $1.75 billion (all-stock)
Offer Price $12.50 per Redfin share (a 63% premium at the time)
Ownership Split Rocket shareholders: ~95%, Redfin shareholders: ~5%
Expected Closing Q2 or Q3 2025
Leadership Glenn Kelman (Redfin CEO) continues, reports to Varun Krishna (Rocket CEO)
Anticipated Synergies $200 million by 2027 ($140M cost savings, $60M new revenue)
Combined Data Power Approximately 14 petabytes (Redfin: 4 PB, Rocket: 10 PB)
Key Consumer Impact Potential for streamlined process & cost savings, but steering concerns
Broader Market Impact Increased competition, likely further consolidation, tech advancements

Looking Down the Road: What’s Next?

The success of this Rocket-Redfin venture will hinge on a few key things:

  1. Smooth Integration: Can they truly merge these two distinct operations and cultures seamlessly? This is often harder than it looks on paper.
  2. Delivering on Promises: Will consumers actually see those significant cost savings and the ultra-smooth experience they’re advertising? The proof will be in the pudding.
  3. Navigating the Watchdogs: How will they handle regulatory scrutiny and ensure they’re playing fair in the market?
  4. Market Conditions: The broader housing market's health will also play a big role. If interest rates remain high and inventory low, even the best-integrated system will face headwinds.

I expect we’ll see competitors like Zillow and other proptech companies closely watching and likely making strategic moves of their own. This could spark a new wave of innovation or, alternatively, more consolidation as companies try to achieve similar scale.

Final Thoughts: A New Era or Just a Bigger Player?

The Rocket Mortgage acquisition of Redfin is undeniably a landmark event. It signals a clear push towards an end-to-end, digitally driven homebuying experience. For us consumers, it could mean a simpler, faster, and maybe even cheaper path to owning a home. That’s an exciting prospect.

However, it’s not without its potential pitfalls. We need to be mindful of the risks of reduced competition, data privacy, and the possibility of being steered towards certain products. The dream of a one-stop shop is appealing, but smart homebuyers will continue to do their homework and explore all their options.

Ultimately, this deal could very well redefine parts of the homebuying process. Whether it leads to a genuinely better and more accessible market for everyone, or simply a more powerful position for one dominant company, remains to be seen. One thing's for sure: the US housing market just got a whole lot more interesting. I’ll be keeping a close eye on how this unfolds, and you should too!

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Also Read:

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  • Housing Prices Are Set to Rise by 4.1% by the End of 2025
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, Housing Market, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, real estate, Real Estate Market

Housing Supply Booms as Listings Surge to Highest Level Since 2019

May 10, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Housing Supply Booms as Listings Surge to Highest Level Since 2019

Have you ever felt like finding the right home was like searching for a needle in a haystack? Well, if you've been keeping an eye on the housing market, you might have noticed a significant shift. Finally, after what feels like ages, the number of homes up for grabs has surged dramatically. In fact, May 2025 marked a notable milestone, with the housing supply skyrocketing to a 6-year high. This increase in inventory offers a glimmer of hope for potential homebuyers who have been patiently waiting on the sidelines.

Housing Supply Booms as Listings Surge to Highest Level Since 2019

According to the latest weekly data from Realtor.com, the total number of homes listed for sale across the U.S. jumped by a substantial 31.1% compared to this time last year. This pushed the total inventory above the one-million mark for the first time since late 2019 – a truly significant jump. This marks the 78th consecutive week of year-over-year increases in active listings, signaling a clear trend of more homes becoming available.

Now, I know what you might be thinking: “More houses, great! Does that mean it's finally easier to buy one?” While the increase in housing supply is definitely a positive development, the full picture is a bit more nuanced. While sellers seem eager to put their properties on the market, many potential buyers are still hesitant to jump in.

A Welcome Increase, But Demand Remains Soft

The surge in housing supply is undoubtedly good news for those who have been frustrated by the limited options available in recent years. After a long period of tight inventory, especially in regions like the Midwest and Northeast, this influx of new listings provides more choices and could potentially ease some of the competitive pressure we've been seeing.

We're seeing a rebound in new listings, reaching their highest point since mid-2022, with a 9.3% year-over-year increase. This suggests that homeowners who might have been holding back are now feeling more confident about putting their properties on the market. As one expert pointed out, this momentum from earlier in the year points towards a more active market as we move into the warmer months.

However, despite this encouraging increase in available homes, buyer demand hasn't kept pace. Many would-be homeowners are still grappling with affordability challenges. Factors like economic uncertainty and low consumer confidence are making people think twice before making such a significant financial commitment.

Affordability Concerns Loom Large

The reality is that even with more homes on the market, the dream of homeownership remains out of reach for many due to persistent affordability issues. Interest rates, while they haven't seen further increases recently, are still at levels that make monthly mortgage payments quite substantial. Combine this with the general cost of living and economic anxieties, and it's understandable why some buyers are proceeding with caution.

Interestingly, despite the cooling demand, the national median list price has seen a slight increase of 0.9% compared to last year. While modest, this is the highest annual price growth in over a year. This indicates that while there are more homes available, prices haven't yet significantly softened in many areas, largely due to the fact that overall inventory is still below pre-pandemic levels in many parts of the country.

Sellers Are Starting to Adjust

Recognizing the hesitancy among buyers, some sellers are starting to take a more pragmatic approach. We're seeing an uptick in the share of homes with price reductions, up 0.6 percentage points from last year. This suggests that sellers are becoming more willing to lower their expectations to attract buyers in this evolving market. For buyers who are in a position to make a move, this could present some opportunities to find a home at a more negotiable price.

The Pace of the Market is Slowing Down

Another key indicator of the shifting market dynamics is the amount of time homes are staying on the market. The typical for-sale home spent four days longer waiting for a buyer compared to the same week last year. This is a continuation of a trend we've been observing, indicating that the frenzied pace of the pandemic-era housing market is definitely behind us.

From a buyer's perspective, this slowdown can actually be a positive thing. It provides more time to consider different options, conduct thorough inspections, and make more informed decisions without feeling rushed by intense competition. While the market is still moving slightly faster than before the pandemic, it's a significant step back from the breakneck speed we saw just a couple of years ago.

Looking Ahead: A Balancing Act

The current state of the housing market feels like a balancing act. We have a growing housing supply, which is a welcome change, but buyer demand remains somewhat subdued due to affordability concerns. Sellers are starting to adjust their strategies, and the pace of the market is moderating.

What does this mean for the future? Well, I believe we're entering a phase where the market is becoming more balanced. Buyers might find more options and potentially more negotiating power, while sellers will need to be realistic about pricing and be prepared for homes to take a little longer to sell.

The Federal Reserve's recent decision to keep interest rates steady, while expected, underscores the ongoing economic uncertainties. The warning about potential risks of higher unemployment and inflation adds another layer of complexity to the housing market outlook. We'll need to keep a close eye on upcoming economic data to see how these factors influence buyer confidence and market activity.

For anyone looking to buy a home, now might be a good time to start actively exploring the market. With more inventory available, you have a better chance of finding a property that meets your needs. Just be sure to carefully consider your financial situation and be prepared to negotiate.

For sellers, it's crucial to price your home competitively and work with a real estate professional who understands the current market dynamics. Being open to negotiation and ensuring your property is well-presented will be key to attracting serious buyers.

Ultimately, the increase in housing supply is a significant development that could pave the way for a more accessible housing market. While challenges remain, this shift offers a sense of optimism for those who have been waiting for the right opportunity to buy their dream home.

Work with Norada, Your Trusted Source for

Real Estate Investment in the Top U.S. Markets

Discover high-quality, ready-to-rent properties designed to deliver consistent returns.

Contact us today to expand your real estate portfolio with confidence.

Contact our investment counselors (No Obligation):

(800) 611-3060

Get Started Now 

Also Read:

  • Housing Market Crisis: Why Homeownership Dreams Are Fading
  • 22 Housing Markets Poised for Boom Over the Next 12 Months
  • Housing Market Predictions 2026: Will it Crash or Boom?
  • 12 Housing Markets Set for Double-Digit Price Decline by Early 2026
  • Housing Prices Are Set to Rise by 4.1% by the End of 2025
  • Housing Market Predictions for the Next 4 Years: 2025 to 2029
  • Real Estate Forecast: Will Home Prices Bottom Out in 2025?
  • Housing Markets With the Biggest Decline in Home Prices Since 2024
  • Why Real Estate Can Thrive During Tariffs Led Economic Uncertainty
  • 5 Hottest Real Estate Markets for Buyers & Investors in 2025
  • Will Real Estate Rebound in 2025: Top Predictions by Experts
  • Will the Housing Market Crash Due to Looming Recession in 2025?
  • 4 States Facing the Major Housing Market Crash or Correction

Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, Housing Market, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, real estate, Real Estate Market

Top 10 Cities Where Home Prices Are Declining the Most

May 10, 2025 by Marco Santarelli

Top 10 Cities Where Home Prices Are Declining the Most

Ever get the feeling that owning a home is becoming a dream further and further out of reach? For years, it felt like house prices were just going up, up, up, especially after the pandemic hit. But hold on a second, the winds might be shifting. Right now, a noticeable number of cities across the US are seeing a dip in their housing prices. Specifically, if you're on the hunt for a potential bargain, keep an eye on the Sun Belt.

This analysis of recent data pinpoints 10 cities where house prices are declining the most, offering a potential silver lining for buyers in a challenging market.

For a long time, the story was about bidding wars and houses flying off the market in days. But the latest numbers paint a different picture. It seems the combination of more homes becoming available, higher mortgage rates making borrowing more expensive, and a general cooling off in buyer demand is finally starting to have an impact. This is leading sellers in certain areas to lower their asking prices to attract buyers, creating an interesting turn of events in what has been a fiercely competitive housing scene.

The Cooling Trend: 10 US Cities Where House Prices Are Declining the Most

Why This Shift Matters

Honestly, this change in the housing market is a big deal for a lot of people. For those who've been patiently waiting on the sidelines, especially younger folks trying to buy their first home, this could be the break they've been hoping for. A drop in prices might finally make homeownership a real possibility.

However, it's a different story for sellers and developers. This cooling trend could mean things are going to get tougher for them. It might take longer to sell a house, and they might not get the prices they were expecting just a year or two ago. Some experts are even suggesting that this could be the start of a longer period of slower activity in the housing market.

Where Are Prices Dropping the Fastest?

Looking at the data, it's pretty clear that the Sun Belt is where a lot of the action is happening when it comes to price reductions. In fact, nine out of the ten cities on the list are located in this sunny region, with Florida having more than half of them.

Realtor.com's data from April shows that nearly a third of the homes listed in North Port and Tampa, Florida, had their prices cut. Following closely behind were Cape Coral and Jacksonville, also in Florida, with over 28% and 27.5% of listings seeing price reductions, respectively. Interestingly, Denver, Colorado, is the only city outside of the Sun Belt to make it into the top ten.

What's driving this trend in these cities? Well, it's largely due to a significant increase in the number of homes available for sale compared to last year. The jump in inventory ranges from almost 28% in Palm Bay, Florida, all the way up to a whopping 65% in Denver.

Let's take a closer look at each of these ten cities:

1. Phoenix, Arizona: Leading the pack, a significant 31% of home listings in Phoenix have seen price reductions. There are currently around 19,981 properties on the market, which is a 33% increase compared to last year. The median list price here is around $525,000, and homes typically stay on the market for about 52 days.

2. North Port, Florida: Coming in second, 30% of listings in North Port have had their prices reduced. With 11,234 homes available (a 32% year-over-year increase), the median asking price is about $490,500, and homes are staying on the market for an average of 70 days.

3. Tampa, Florida: In Tampa, 29% of the listed homes have seen price cuts. There are currently 19,310 homes for sale, marking a 32% rise in inventory. The median price is around $410,000, and homes spend an average of 58 days on the market.

4. Cape Coral, Florida: Cape Coral shows a similar trend, with about 28% of homes having their prices lowered. The number of listings has jumped by 41% to 14,580, and the median price is approximately $435,000. Homes in this area are taking longer to sell, averaging around 81 days on the market.

5. Jacksonville, Florida: In Jacksonville, 28% of homes have seen price reductions. The city's inventory has increased by 35%, reaching 9,676 listings, with a median list price of about $399,995 and an average of 57 days on the market.

6. Denver, Colorado: Bucking the Sun Belt trend, Denver reports that 27% of its listings have price reductions, amidst a sharp 65% surge in inventory, now totaling 10,345 listings. The median home price is around $599,450, and properties are selling relatively quickly, spending an average of just 36 days on the market – the fastest among the top 10.

7. Palm Bay, Florida: In Palm Bay, 27% of listings have price cuts. Inventory has risen by 28% to 4,562 properties, with a median list price of around $389,825. Homes here average 61 days on the market.

8. Deltona, Florida: Deltona has also seen about 27% of its homes marked down in price. Listings have climbed to 6,892, up by 31%, with a median asking price of around $394,450 and an average market time of 70 days.

9. Austin, Texas: Twenty-six percent of Austin's 11,073 listings have been reduced in price. Inventory is up by 25%, and the median list price is around $525,000. Homes here sell slightly faster than most on the list, averaging 44 days on the market.

10. Charleston, South Carolina: Rounding out the top 10, Charleston reports that 26% of its listings have price drops. Inventory has surged by 42% to 3,542 homes; the median price is around $525,000. Homes typically sell in about 41 days.

What Experts Are Saying

It's not just the numbers that tell the story; the experts are also weighing in. Hannah Jones, a senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com, points out that as more homes become available and take longer to sell, sellers are more likely to reduce their prices to grab buyers' attention. She believes this puts buyers in a strong negotiating position, with sellers likely to be flexible on both price and terms.

As reported by Newsweek, Nick Gerli, CEO of the app Reventure, has been quite vocal on social media about the housing market in Florida. He suggests that the state is already in a housing downturn, with prices dropping across the board. He believes this trend will likely continue for years due to an oversupply of homes coupled with a significant lack of affordability.

Gerli has also highlighted that while some areas like New York are still seeing price increases, Florida has already experienced a 2.4% drop in house prices over the past year. Reventure estimates further price declines of around 5% in Florida in the coming year.

Looking at Arizona, Gerli notes that home prices are down by 6.9% from their peak in June 2022. He predicts that the market correction in Arizona is “going to accelerate over the next 12 months” due to a large amount of inventory causing sellers to feel pressured.

What Could Happen Next?

Based on these trends and expert opinions, it seems likely that we'll continue to see price adjustments in these and potentially other markets. For buyers in these areas, this could present some real opportunities to find a home at a more reasonable price. However, it's crucial to remember that the housing market is complex, and local conditions can vary significantly.

For sellers, it might be a time to adjust expectations and be prepared for longer selling times and potential negotiations. The rapid price increases we saw in recent years might not return anytime soon in these specific markets.

As someone who's been watching the housing market closely, I think this shift is a much-needed breather after a period of intense competition. While it might present challenges for some, it could open doors for many who have been waiting for a chance to become homeowners. It's a reminder that the housing market is cyclical, and what goes up can indeed come down. Keeping a close eye on these trends will be crucial for both buyers and sellers navigating the market in the months ahead.

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Filed Under: Housing Market, Real Estate Market Tagged With: home prices, Housing Market, Housing Price Forecast, Housing Prices, real estate, Real Estate Market

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