Mortgage Rates Drop This Week After Reversal of Tariffs

Mortgage rates have experienced a slight dip, falling to an average of 6.89%. This positive shift is largely attributed to the financial markets' sigh of relief following former President Trump's swift turnaround on imposing significant new tariffs on Canada and Mexico.

I know, I know, keeping up with the housing market can feel like trying to predict the weather. One minute it's sunny, the next it's raining interest rates. But let's break down what this recent drop means for you and what factors are still at play in the current real estate climate.

Mortgage Rates Drop This Week After Reversal of Tariffs

A Sigh of Relief for the Market

Remember when there was talk of big new tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico? Well, the market definitely noticed. Tariffs often lead to inflation, which can then drive up interest rates, including mortgage rates. When those tariffs were quickly put on hold, it was like a pressure valve released for the financial world.

According to Freddie Mac, the average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped to 6.89% for the week ending January 30th. This is a welcome decrease from the previous week's 6.95%. To give you some context, rates averaged 6.64% during the same week last year.

• Current Rate: 6.89% (as of Jan 30th)
• Previous Week: 6.95%
• Same Week Last Year: 6.64%

“The recent announcement of, then pause in, tariffs had the potential to jostle the market confidence, which could have negatively impacted mortgage rates, but the timing managed to keep things rather uneventful,” says Realtor.com® senior economic research analyst Hannah Jones.

More Than Just Tariffs: Understanding the Bigger Picture

While the tariff reversal played a significant role, it's important to remember that mortgage rates don't exist in a vacuum. They're influenced by a cocktail of economic factors, including:

• Inflation: As I mentioned before, tariffs can fuel inflation, but so can other things like increased consumer spending or supply chain issues.
• Economic Growth: A strong economy typically leads to higher interest rates as lenders try to manage potential inflation.
• Government Policies: Decisions made by the Federal Reserve (like raising or lowering interest rates) have a direct impact on mortgage rates.
• Bond Market: Mortgage rates often follow the trends of long-term bond yields.

Mortgage rates tend to move in tandem with the yields on long-term bonds, which change as investors adjust their expectations about the economy’s future, inflation, and government deficits.

What Does This Mean for Homebuyers?

Even though the drop to 6.89% is a move in the right direction, it is a bit of a relief. I can tell you from experience that keeping rates around 7% can be frustrating.

“Even though rates are higher compared to last year, the last two weeks of purchase applications are modestly above what we saw a year ago, indicating some latent demand in the market,” says Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater.

If you're considering buying a home, this slight decrease could translate to:

• Lower Monthly Payments: Even a small reduction in your interest rate can save you money each month, adding up to a significant amount over the life of your loan.
• Increased Affordability: A lower rate may allow you to qualify for a larger loan, opening up more housing options.
• Less Competition: The market is slightly cooling down, meaning you might face less competition from other buyers, giving you more negotiating power.

However, don't get too excited just yet. As Hannah Jones wisely points out, “However, for the time being, high mortgage rates, stubborn home prices, and general economic uncertainty mean that many would-be home shoppers are staying on the sidelines.”

Home Prices: A Mixed Bag

Let's talk about home prices. The Realtor.com economic research team's weekly housing market update reveals some interesting trends for the week ending February 6th:

• Median List Price: Down 1% from the same week last year.
• Consecutive Weeks of Decline: This marks the 36th week in a row where the national median home list price has either remained flat or decreased compared to the previous year, a trend that began in June 2024.
• Price Reductions: The number of listings with price reductions is up 29% compared to the same period last year, with the overall share of listings with price cuts increasing by 0.5%.

Here is a breakdown in tabular format:

Metric	Change
Median List Price	Down 1% from last year
Weeks of Price Decline	36 weeks (since June 2024)
Listings with Price Reductions	Up 29% from last year

This suggests that sellers are becoming more willing to negotiate as homes sit on the market longer.

But here's the catch: even with these price reductions, home prices are still close to record highs. This, combined with the still-elevated mortgage rates, continues to be a challenge for many buyers.

Supply and Demand: Finding a Balance

One of the biggest factors influencing the housing market is the balance between supply and demand. For the past few years, we've seen a significant shortage of homes for sale, which has driven prices up.

However, there are signs that this is starting to change:

• New Listings: New listings hitting the market are up 4.2% compared to a year ago. This is the fourth consecutive week of year-over-year increases, and new listings are up 7.1% so far this year compared to the same period in 2024.
• Total Supply: The total supply of homes listed for sale is up 26.7% compared to last year.

Here is the data in tabular format:

Metric	Change
New Listings	Up 4.2% year-over-year
Total Home Supply	Up 26.7% year-over-year

This increased supply is giving buyers more options and contributing to the slowdown in price growth.

• Days on Market: Median days on the market have increased significantly, with the typical home spending seven more days on the market compared to last year.

“Though housing costs remain eye-wateringly high, for-sale inventory continues to build, offering home buyers more options. Climbing inventory levels have created a bit more slack in the housing market, which is important for market balance,” says Jones.

My Take on the Market: Cautious Optimism

So, what's my overall assessment of the current housing market? I'd say it's a situation of cautious optimism.

• The Good: Mortgage rates have dipped slightly, and the supply of homes for sale is increasing, giving buyers more choices.
• The Not-So-Good: Mortgage rates are still relatively high, and home prices remain stubbornly close to record levels.

For buyers, this means it's still a challenging market, but there are potential opportunities to find deals, especially if you're willing to be patient and negotiate.

For sellers, it means it's crucial to price your home competitively and be prepared for it to stay on the market longer than it would have a year or two ago.

In conclusion, while the drop to 6.89% is a welcome sign, it's just one piece of the puzzle. Keep a close eye on the economy, inflation, and inventory levels as you navigate the housing market.

“Easing mortgage rates and climbing housing supply will both be important in improving housing affordability in the U.S.,” adds Jones. Let's hope these trends continue in the right direction.